Increasing supply of NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs, fueled by TSMC's improving 4NP yields and expanded capacity, is the main force behind trader consensus clustering around $4.50–$5.50 per hour. Neo-cloud providers have added meaningful inventory, intensifying competition with hyperscalers and driving spot and on-demand rates down from March 2026 peaks near $6.11. Persistent frontier-model training and inference demand supports the mid-range view, while expectations of further compression toward $2.50–$3.00 by year-end—amplified by the emerging B300—create the balanced distribution. Power constraints and allocation priorities among large buyers add the remaining uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 18%
$5.00-$5.50 17.0%
$4.00-$4.50 16.1%
$7.00+ 11%
$52,689 Vol.
$52,689 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
5%
$3.00-$3.50
7%
$3.50-$4.00
7%
$4.00-$4.50
16%
$4.50-$5.00
18%
$5.00-$5.50
17%
$5.50-$6.00
9%
$6.00-$6.50
7%
$6.50-$7.00
6%
$7.00+
11%
$4.50-$5.00 18%
$5.00-$5.50 17.0%
$4.00-$4.50 16.1%
$7.00+ 11%
$52,689 Vol.
$52,689 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
$2,854 Vol.
5%
$3.00-$3.50
$2,828 Vol.
7%
$3.50-$4.00
$3,603 Vol.
7%
$4.00-$4.50
$4,085 Vol.
16%
$4.50-$5.00
$9,711 Vol.
18%
$5.00-$5.50
$7,428 Vol.
17%
$5.50-$6.00
$4,966 Vol.
9%
$6.00-$6.50
$6,481 Vol.
7%
$6.50-$7.00
$5,000 Vol.
6%
$7.00+
$5,732 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Increasing supply of NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs, fueled by TSMC's improving 4NP yields and expanded capacity, is the main force behind trader consensus clustering around $4.50–$5.50 per hour. Neo-cloud providers have added meaningful inventory, intensifying competition with hyperscalers and driving spot and on-demand rates down from March 2026 peaks near $6.11. Persistent frontier-model training and inference demand supports the mid-range view, while expectations of further compression toward $2.50–$3.00 by year-end—amplified by the emerging B300—create the balanced distribution. Power constraints and allocation priorities among large buyers add the remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$52,689End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Increasing supply of NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs, fueled by TSMC's improving 4NP yields and expanded capacity, is the main force behind trader consensus clustering around $4.50–$5.50 per hour. Neo-cloud providers have added meaningful inventory, intensifying competition with hyperscalers and driving spot and on-demand rates down from March 2026 peaks near $6.11. Persistent frontier-model training and inference demand supports the mid-range view, while expectations of further compression toward $2.50–$3.00 by year-end—amplified by the emerging B300—create the balanced distribution. Power constraints and allocation priorities among large buyers add the remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$52,689End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Increasing supply of NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs, fueled by TSMC's improving 4NP yields and expanded capacity, is the main force behind trader consensus clustering around $4.50–$5.50 per hour. Neo-cloud providers have added meaningful inventory, intensifying competition with hyperscalers and driving spot and on-demand rates down from March 2026 peaks near $6.11. Persistent frontier-model training and inference demand supports the mid-range view, while expectations of further compression toward $2.50–$3.00 by year-end—amplified by the emerging B300—create the balanced distribution. Power constraints and allocation priorities among large buyers add the remaining uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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