NVIDIA’s Blackwell B200 GPUs face persistent rental-price pressure in 2026 from constrained CoWoS-L advanced packaging and HBM3e supply at TSMC and memory vendors, even as production ramps toward one million units per month. Hyperscalers locked in multi-billion-unit forward orders last year, leaving limited spot capacity and pushing neocloud on-demand rates to roughly $4.50–$8 per hour with wide provider spreads. Recent frontier-model launches and agentic workloads have sustained demand, supporting B200 premiums over H200 while spot H200 prices fell more sharply as Blackwell displaces older Hopper inventory. Key swing factors include any Q4 2026 CoWoS relief, additional Rubin announcements, or hyperscaler capex adjustments that could ease or tighten availability through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$26,978 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $8.00
21%
↑ $7.50
53%
↓ $5.50
96%
↓ $5.00
88%
↓ $4.50
56%
↓ $4.00
44%
↓ $3.50
20%
$26,978 Vol.
↑ $8.00
$2,052 Vol.
21%
↑ $7.50
$5,555 Vol.
53%
↓ $5.50
$546 Vol.
96%
↓ $5.00
$672 Vol.
88%
↓ $4.50
$5,525 Vol.
56%
↓ $4.00
$2,153 Vol.
44%
↓ $3.50
$250 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.NVIDIA’s Blackwell B200 GPUs face persistent rental-price pressure in 2026 from constrained CoWoS-L advanced packaging and HBM3e supply at TSMC and memory vendors, even as production ramps toward one million units per month. Hyperscalers locked in multi-billion-unit forward orders last year, leaving limited spot capacity and pushing neocloud on-demand rates to roughly $4.50–$8 per hour with wide provider spreads. Recent frontier-model launches and agentic workloads have sustained demand, supporting B200 premiums over H200 while spot H200 prices fell more sharply as Blackwell displaces older Hopper inventory. Key swing factors include any Q4 2026 CoWoS relief, additional Rubin announcements, or hyperscaler capex adjustments that could ease or tighten availability through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$26,978End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.NVIDIA’s Blackwell B200 GPUs face persistent rental-price pressure in 2026 from constrained CoWoS-L advanced packaging and HBM3e supply at TSMC and memory vendors, even as production ramps toward one million units per month. Hyperscalers locked in multi-billion-unit forward orders last year, leaving limited spot capacity and pushing neocloud on-demand rates to roughly $4.50–$8 per hour with wide provider spreads. Recent frontier-model launches and agentic workloads have sustained demand, supporting B200 premiums over H200 while spot H200 prices fell more sharply as Blackwell displaces older Hopper inventory. Key swing factors include any Q4 2026 CoWoS relief, additional Rubin announcements, or hyperscaler capex adjustments that could ease or tighten availability through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$26,978End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NVIDIA’s Blackwell B200 GPUs face persistent rental-price pressure in 2026 from constrained CoWoS-L advanced packaging and HBM3e supply at TSMC and memory vendors, even as production ramps toward one million units per month. Hyperscalers locked in multi-billion-unit forward orders last year, leaving limited spot capacity and pushing neocloud on-demand rates to roughly $4.50–$8 per hour with wide provider spreads. Recent frontier-model launches and agentic workloads have sustained demand, supporting B200 premiums over H200 while spot H200 prices fell more sharply as Blackwell displaces older Hopper inventory. Key swing factors include any Q4 2026 CoWoS relief, additional Rubin announcements, or hyperscaler capex adjustments that could ease or tighten availability through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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