**Current B200 (NVIDIA Blackwell) rental prices show significant dispersion across providers, with on-demand rates commonly ranging from roughly $3–$7 per GPU-hour and medians near $6 in mid-2026 spot and reserved listings.** This spread reflects tight near-term supply against surging AI demand for training and inference workloads, creating the market's broad uncertainty for end-of-October pricing. Key differentiating factors include the pace of TSMC Blackwell wafer production and yields, which determine how quickly additional capacity reaches neocloud spot markets versus locked hyperscaler allocations. Stronger-than-expected demand from open-weight model training, agentic AI, and inference scaling can sustain or push rates toward the $6.50+ tier, while faster supply inflows or softer utilization could pull averages into the $4.50–$6.00 bands. Regional power and data-center constraints, provider competition (lower neocloud pricing versus premium hyperscaler bundles), and any shifts in reserved-contract uptake further widen the distribution. Traders appear to price in ongoing volatility rather than a clear directional move, given how quickly new capacity or demand spikes can alter the balance in this fast-moving segment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6.50+ 31%
$5.50-$6.00 18%
$5.00-$5.50 18%
$6.00-$6.50 16%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$4.50
13%
$4.50-$5.00
14%
$5.00-$5.50
18%
$5.50-$6.00
18%
$6.00-$6.50
16%
$6.50+
31%
$6.50+ 31%
$5.50-$6.00 18%
$5.00-$5.50 18%
$6.00-$6.50 16%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$4.50
$59 Vol.
13%
$4.50-$5.00
$62 Vol.
14%
$5.00-$5.50
$62 Vol.
18%
$5.50-$6.00
$67 Vol.
18%
$6.00-$6.50
$66 Vol.
16%
$6.50+
$247 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Current B200 (NVIDIA Blackwell) rental prices show significant dispersion across providers, with on-demand rates commonly ranging from roughly $3–$7 per GPU-hour and medians near $6 in mid-2026 spot and reserved listings.** This spread reflects tight near-term supply against surging AI demand for training and inference workloads, creating the market's broad uncertainty for end-of-October pricing.
Key differentiating factors include the pace of TSMC Blackwell wafer production and yields, which determine how quickly additional capacity reaches neocloud spot markets versus locked hyperscaler allocations. Stronger-than-expected demand from open-weight model training, agentic AI, and inference scaling can sustain or push rates toward the $6.50+ tier, while faster supply inflows or softer utilization could pull averages into the $4.50–$6.00 bands. Regional power and data-center constraints, provider competition (lower neocloud pricing versus premium hyperscaler bundles), and any shifts in reserved-contract uptake further widen the distribution. Traders appear to price in ongoing volatility rather than a clear directional move, given how quickly new capacity or demand spikes can alter the balance in this fast-moving segment.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$564End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Current B200 (NVIDIA Blackwell) rental prices show significant dispersion across providers, with on-demand rates commonly ranging from roughly $3–$7 per GPU-hour and medians near $6 in mid-2026 spot and reserved listings.** This spread reflects tight near-term supply against surging AI demand for training and inference workloads, creating the market's broad uncertainty for end-of-October pricing.
Key differentiating factors include the pace of TSMC Blackwell wafer production and yields, which determine how quickly additional capacity reaches neocloud spot markets versus locked hyperscaler allocations. Stronger-than-expected demand from open-weight model training, agentic AI, and inference scaling can sustain or push rates toward the $6.50+ tier, while faster supply inflows or softer utilization could pull averages into the $4.50–$6.00 bands. Regional power and data-center constraints, provider competition (lower neocloud pricing versus premium hyperscaler bundles), and any shifts in reserved-contract uptake further widen the distribution. Traders appear to price in ongoing volatility rather than a clear directional move, given how quickly new capacity or demand spikes can alter the balance in this fast-moving segment.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$564End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current B200 (NVIDIA Blackwell) rental prices show significant dispersion across providers, with on-demand rates commonly ranging from roughly $3–$7 per GPU-hour and medians near $6 in mid-2026 spot and reserved listings.** This spread reflects tight near-term supply against surging AI demand for training and inference workloads, creating the market's broad uncertainty for end-of-October pricing. Key differentiating factors include the pace of TSMC Blackwell wafer production and yields, which determine how quickly additional capacity reaches neocloud spot markets versus locked hyperscaler allocations. Stronger-than-expected demand from open-weight model training, agentic AI, and inference scaling can sustain or push rates toward the $6.50+ tier, while faster supply inflows or softer utilization could pull averages into the $4.50–$6.00 bands. Regional power and data-center constraints, provider competition (lower neocloud pricing versus premium hyperscaler bundles), and any shifts in reserved-contract uptake further widen the distribution. Traders appear to price in ongoing volatility rather than a clear directional move, given how quickly new capacity or demand spikes can alter the balance in this fast-moving segment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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