Sustained AI training and inference demand, particularly for memory-intensive workloads on the 141GB H200, underpins trader sentiment, yet recent Blackwell B200 ramp-up has begun displacing Hopper capacity and contributed to spot price volatility around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour across providers like Vast.ai and Jarvislabs. HBM3e shortages, CoWoS packaging limits, and power constraints continue to support firmer pricing despite hyperscaler cuts of up to 45% earlier in 2026. The closely matched probabilities across $3.50–$5.50 ranges reflect uncertainty over Rubin availability in late 2026, continued enterprise adoption of agentic models, and whether supply growth will outpace the trillion-dollar AI chip backlog projected by NVIDIA.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 20%
$3.50-$4.00 15.5%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 13.5%
$14,742 Vol.
$14,742 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
5%
$2.50-$3.00
5%
$3.00-$3.50
6%
$3.50-$4.00
16%
$4.00-$4.50
20%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
13%
$5.50-$6.00
13%
$6.00-$6.50
9%
$6.50-$7.00
4%
$7.00-$7.50
3%
$7.50+
3%
$4.00-$4.50 20%
$3.50-$4.00 15.5%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 13.5%
$14,742 Vol.
$14,742 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
$503 Vol.
5%
$2.50-$3.00
$683 Vol.
5%
$3.00-$3.50
$610 Vol.
6%
$3.50-$4.00
$2,027 Vol.
16%
$4.00-$4.50
$5,857 Vol.
20%
$4.50-$5.00
$516 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50
$1,240 Vol.
13%
$5.50-$6.00
$1,158 Vol.
13%
$6.00-$6.50
$711 Vol.
9%
$6.50-$7.00
$579 Vol.
4%
$7.00-$7.50
$442 Vol.
3%
$7.50+
$417 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Sustained AI training and inference demand, particularly for memory-intensive workloads on the 141GB H200, underpins trader sentiment, yet recent Blackwell B200 ramp-up has begun displacing Hopper capacity and contributed to spot price volatility around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour across providers like Vast.ai and Jarvislabs. HBM3e shortages, CoWoS packaging limits, and power constraints continue to support firmer pricing despite hyperscaler cuts of up to 45% earlier in 2026. The closely matched probabilities across $3.50–$5.50 ranges reflect uncertainty over Rubin availability in late 2026, continued enterprise adoption of agentic models, and whether supply growth will outpace the trillion-dollar AI chip backlog projected by NVIDIA.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$14,742End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Sustained AI training and inference demand, particularly for memory-intensive workloads on the 141GB H200, underpins trader sentiment, yet recent Blackwell B200 ramp-up has begun displacing Hopper capacity and contributed to spot price volatility around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour across providers like Vast.ai and Jarvislabs. HBM3e shortages, CoWoS packaging limits, and power constraints continue to support firmer pricing despite hyperscaler cuts of up to 45% earlier in 2026. The closely matched probabilities across $3.50–$5.50 ranges reflect uncertainty over Rubin availability in late 2026, continued enterprise adoption of agentic models, and whether supply growth will outpace the trillion-dollar AI chip backlog projected by NVIDIA.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$14,742End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sustained AI training and inference demand, particularly for memory-intensive workloads on the 141GB H200, underpins trader sentiment, yet recent Blackwell B200 ramp-up has begun displacing Hopper capacity and contributed to spot price volatility around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour across providers like Vast.ai and Jarvislabs. HBM3e shortages, CoWoS packaging limits, and power constraints continue to support firmer pricing despite hyperscaler cuts of up to 45% earlier in 2026. The closely matched probabilities across $3.50–$5.50 ranges reflect uncertainty over Rubin availability in late 2026, continued enterprise adoption of agentic models, and whether supply growth will outpace the trillion-dollar AI chip backlog projected by NVIDIA.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions