Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion and investor enthusiasm for frontier AI models position the company for a high-valuation debut, with secondary markets already implying $1.05–1.15 trillion and forecasts centering near $1.1–1.18 trillion. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, backed by $65 billion in new capital and run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion, have reinforced expectations of an October Nasdaq listing that could command a substantial premium. Traders assign the strongest odds to the 1.8T+ bracket because sustained demand for Claude and competitive positioning against peers support aggressive pricing, though execution risks around market conditions and regulatory review remain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 61%
1.2–1.5T 17.5%
1.5–1.8T 16.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 8.0%
$295,491 Vol.
$295,491 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
10%
1.5–1.8T
16%
1.8T+
61%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
8%
1.8T+ 61%
1.2–1.5T 17.5%
1.5–1.8T 16.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 8.0%
$295,491 Vol.
$295,491 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
10%
1.5–1.8T
16%
1.8T+
61%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
8%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion and investor enthusiasm for frontier AI models position the company for a high-valuation debut, with secondary markets already implying $1.05–1.15 trillion and forecasts centering near $1.1–1.18 trillion. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, backed by $65 billion in new capital and run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion, have reinforced expectations of an October Nasdaq listing that could command a substantial premium. Traders assign the strongest odds to the 1.8T+ bracket because sustained demand for Claude and competitive positioning against peers support aggressive pricing, though execution risks around market conditions and regulatory review remain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions