Recent tracking and theater bookings around 3,400 screens have anchored trader sentiment for “The End of Oak Street,” with the 23-26 million bracket leading at 39.5% implied probability. Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor headline the PG-13 dinosaur thriller from David Robert Mitchell and Warner Bros., which carries an estimated $80-85 million budget and debuts amid the studio’s ongoing domestic slump. Positive early reviews, including an A- from IndieWire, and solid preview numbers offer some upside momentum, yet competition from the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” and mixed unaided awareness keep higher openings like 26 million-plus at just 12.5%. The tight spread between 20-23 million (32.5%) and the leader reflects uncertainty around word-of-mouth and whether strong critic scores can expand beyond initial family and genre audiences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated“The End of Oak Street” Opening Weekend Box Office
“The End of Oak Street” Opening Weekend Box Office
23-26m 45%
20-23m 34%
17-20m 25%
26m+ 13%
$28,198 Vol.
$28,198 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<14m
<1%
14-17m
7%
17-20m
21%
20-23m
34%
23-26m
40%
26m+
13%
23-26m 45%
20-23m 34%
17-20m 25%
26m+ 13%
$28,198 Vol.
$28,198 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<14m
$834 Vol.
<1%
14-17m
$927 Vol.
7%
17-20m
$3,863 Vol.
21%
20-23m
$2,611 Vol.
34%
23-26m
$3,373 Vol.
40%
26m+
$16,609 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking and theater bookings around 3,400 screens have anchored trader sentiment for “The End of Oak Street,” with the 23-26 million bracket leading at 39.5% implied probability. Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor headline the PG-13 dinosaur thriller from David Robert Mitchell and Warner Bros., which carries an estimated $80-85 million budget and debuts amid the studio’s ongoing domestic slump. Positive early reviews, including an A- from IndieWire, and solid preview numbers offer some upside momentum, yet competition from the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” and mixed unaided awareness keep higher openings like 26 million-plus at just 12.5%. The tight spread between 20-23 million (32.5%) and the leader reflects uncertainty around word-of-mouth and whether strong critic scores can expand beyond initial family and genre audiences.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Volume
$28,198End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking and theater bookings around 3,400 screens have anchored trader sentiment for “The End of Oak Street,” with the 23-26 million bracket leading at 39.5% implied probability. Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor headline the PG-13 dinosaur thriller from David Robert Mitchell and Warner Bros., which carries an estimated $80-85 million budget and debuts amid the studio’s ongoing domestic slump. Positive early reviews, including an A- from IndieWire, and solid preview numbers offer some upside momentum, yet competition from the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” and mixed unaided awareness keep higher openings like 26 million-plus at just 12.5%. The tight spread between 20-23 million (32.5%) and the leader reflects uncertainty around word-of-mouth and whether strong critic scores can expand beyond initial family and genre audiences.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$28,198End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking and theater bookings around 3,400 screens have anchored trader sentiment for “The End of Oak Street,” with the 23-26 million bracket leading at 39.5% implied probability. Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor headline the PG-13 dinosaur thriller from David Robert Mitchell and Warner Bros., which carries an estimated $80-85 million budget and debuts amid the studio’s ongoing domestic slump. Positive early reviews, including an A- from IndieWire, and solid preview numbers offer some upside momentum, yet competition from the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” and mixed unaided awareness keep higher openings like 26 million-plus at just 12.5%. The tight spread between 20-23 million (32.5%) and the leader reflects uncertainty around word-of-mouth and whether strong critic scores can expand beyond initial family and genre audiences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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