The Piauí Senate race for two seats on October 4 remains highly competitive, with no clear frontrunner for second place driving trader consensus near 50% across multiple names. Incumbent Ciro Nogueira (PP) leads most recent polls but faces pressure from challengers including Júlio César and Pedro Laurentino, while fellow incumbent Marcelo Castro (MDB) anchors the center. Shifting alliances, late candidate registrations, and undecided voter blocs in a state with fragmented preferences sustain the tight distribution. Developments such as new polling releases, party federation agreements, or campaign events in the final weeks could consolidate support and separate the pack before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro Nogueira 47%
Major Paulo Roberto 15.2%
Marcelo Castro 13%
Jorge Lopes 7%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Nogueira
47%
Major Paulo Roberto
15%
Marcelo Castro
13%
Jorge Lopes
7%
Antônio Barros
7%
Pastor Sena
6%
Antônio José Lira
6%
Jardenya Bezerra
6%
Julio Cesar
5%
Alexandre Mariano
5%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
5%
Tiago Junqueira
5%
Danniel Rocha
5%
Dionisio Carvalho
5%
Cloves José
5%
Francinaldo Leão
5%
Irmão Evandro Marques
5%
Toinho Dufrango
4%
Maria Madalena Nunes
4%
Pedro Laurentino
8%
Ciro Nogueira 47%
Major Paulo Roberto 15.2%
Marcelo Castro 13%
Jorge Lopes 7%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Nogueira
$211 Vol.
47%
Major Paulo Roberto
$98 Vol.
15%
Marcelo Castro
$98 Vol.
13%
Jorge Lopes
$98 Vol.
7%
Antônio Barros
$98 Vol.
7%
Pastor Sena
$105 Vol.
6%
Antônio José Lira
$107 Vol.
6%
Jardenya Bezerra
$107 Vol.
6%
Julio Cesar
$98 Vol.
5%
Alexandre Mariano
$98 Vol.
5%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
$98 Vol.
5%
Tiago Junqueira
$114 Vol.
5%
Danniel Rocha
$98 Vol.
5%
Dionisio Carvalho
$98 Vol.
5%
Cloves José
$107 Vol.
5%
Francinaldo Leão
$106 Vol.
5%
Irmão Evandro Marques
$98 Vol.
5%
Toinho Dufrango
$98 Vol.
4%
Maria Madalena Nunes
$98 Vol.
4%
Pedro Laurentino
$98 Vol.
8%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí Senate race for two seats on October 4 remains highly competitive, with no clear frontrunner for second place driving trader consensus near 50% across multiple names. Incumbent Ciro Nogueira (PP) leads most recent polls but faces pressure from challengers including Júlio César and Pedro Laurentino, while fellow incumbent Marcelo Castro (MDB) anchors the center. Shifting alliances, late candidate registrations, and undecided voter blocs in a state with fragmented preferences sustain the tight distribution. Developments such as new polling releases, party federation agreements, or campaign events in the final weeks could consolidate support and separate the pack before election night.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$2,135End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí Senate race for two seats on October 4 remains highly competitive, with no clear frontrunner for second place driving trader consensus near 50% across multiple names. Incumbent Ciro Nogueira (PP) leads most recent polls but faces pressure from challengers including Júlio César and Pedro Laurentino, while fellow incumbent Marcelo Castro (MDB) anchors the center. Shifting alliances, late candidate registrations, and undecided voter blocs in a state with fragmented preferences sustain the tight distribution. Developments such as new polling releases, party federation agreements, or campaign events in the final weeks could consolidate support and separate the pack before election night.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,135End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí Senate race for two seats on October 4 remains highly competitive, with no clear frontrunner for second place driving trader consensus near 50% across multiple names. Incumbent Ciro Nogueira (PP) leads most recent polls but faces pressure from challengers including Júlio César and Pedro Laurentino, while fellow incumbent Marcelo Castro (MDB) anchors the center. Shifting alliances, late candidate registrations, and undecided voter blocs in a state with fragmented preferences sustain the tight distribution. Developments such as new polling releases, party federation agreements, or campaign events in the final weeks could consolidate support and separate the pack before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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