The recent release of the nearly 27-minute Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look—premiering exclusively on Netflix August 27 before hitting Rockstar’s YouTube channel six hours later—has anchored trader expectations for under 20 million first-week views at 73% implied probability. Early YouTube tracking shows only low-single-digit millions of views within the first day, far below the explosive 24-hour totals of prior short trailers, reflecting the longer runtime, age restriction, split-platform rollout, and reduced novelty after earlier reveals. The in-game PS5 footage offers deeper Leonida and story details on protagonists Jason and Lucia, yet this format appears to limit broad viral sharing compared with concise hype videos. With the game still slated for November 19, upcoming chart updates and any Netflix viewership data could provide the next momentum signals for the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look on week 1?
<20M 72%
20-22M 17%
22-24M 6%
26-28M 3.6%
$34,986 Vol.
$34,986 Vol.
<20M
72%
20-22M
17%
22-24M
6%
24-26M
2%
26-28M
4%
28-30M
<1%
30-32M
<1%
32-34M
<1%
34-36M
<1%
36-38M
<1%
38-40M
<1%
40M+
<1%
<20M 72%
20-22M 17%
22-24M 6%
26-28M 3.6%
$34,986 Vol.
$34,986 Vol.
<20M
72%
20-22M
17%
22-24M
6%
24-26M
2%
26-28M
4%
28-30M
<1%
30-32M
<1%
32-34M
<1%
34-36M
<1%
36-38M
<1%
38-40M
<1%
40M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The recent release of the nearly 27-minute Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look—premiering exclusively on Netflix August 27 before hitting Rockstar’s YouTube channel six hours later—has anchored trader expectations for under 20 million first-week views at 73% implied probability. Early YouTube tracking shows only low-single-digit millions of views within the first day, far below the explosive 24-hour totals of prior short trailers, reflecting the longer runtime, age restriction, split-platform rollout, and reduced novelty after earlier reveals. The in-game PS5 footage offers deeper Leonida and story details on protagonists Jason and Lucia, yet this format appears to limit broad viral sharing compared with concise hype videos. With the game still slated for November 19, upcoming chart updates and any Netflix viewership data could provide the next momentum signals for the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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