**Traders see the 160-199 tweet range as the most probable outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 28 to September 4 because recent weekly settlements have clustered in the low-to-mid 180s amid steady but unspectacular posting.** Historical patterns show daily averages of 30-50 posts on weekdays dropping sharply on weekends, producing eight-day totals typically between 140 and 220 unless a major political flashpoint, Starship update, or Tesla development triggers extended threads and replies. The tight pricing between the 160-179 and 180-199 brackets reflects this baseline volatility, with higher bins discounted absent confirmed catalysts and lower ones tempered by Musk’s consistent engagement on AI, demographics, and platform issues. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week announcements remain the main swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 18%
180-199 18%
140-159 15%
200-219 14%
$317,138 Vol.
$317,138 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
15%
160-179
18%
180-199
18%
200-219
14%
220-239
11%
240-259
7%
260-279
4%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 18%
180-199 18%
140-159 15%
200-219 14%
$317,138 Vol.
$317,138 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
15%
160-179
18%
180-199
18%
200-219
14%
220-239
11%
240-259
7%
260-279
4%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders see the 160-199 tweet range as the most probable outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 28 to September 4 because recent weekly settlements have clustered in the low-to-mid 180s amid steady but unspectacular posting.** Historical patterns show daily averages of 30-50 posts on weekdays dropping sharply on weekends, producing eight-day totals typically between 140 and 220 unless a major political flashpoint, Starship update, or Tesla development triggers extended threads and replies. The tight pricing between the 160-179 and 180-199 brackets reflects this baseline volatility, with higher bins discounted absent confirmed catalysts and lower ones tempered by Musk’s consistent engagement on AI, demographics, and platform issues. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week announcements remain the main swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions