**Recent posting volatility on X, with weekly totals swinging sharply between low-40s and 300-plus bursts, is the main driver keeping the September 1–8 bracket market clustered around the 160–239 range.** Traders see no major product launches, political flashpoints, or SpaceX/Tesla milestones on the immediate horizon that would push daily volume into sustained high-engagement mode, so expectations anchor near the recent 180–199 settlement while allowing room for routine replies, quotes, and platform commentary to land in adjacent bins. Weekend slowdowns and the absence of breaking industry news keep multiple neighboring outcomes competitive, underscoring how quickly external events can alter Musk’s cadence on the platform.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 17%
200-219 15%
160-179 14%
220-239 13%
$21,163 Vol.
$21,163 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
11%
160-179
14%
180-199
17%
200-219
15%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 15%
160-179 14%
220-239 13%
$21,163 Vol.
$21,163 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
11%
160-179
14%
180-199
17%
200-219
15%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent posting volatility on X, with weekly totals swinging sharply between low-40s and 300-plus bursts, is the main driver keeping the September 1–8 bracket market clustered around the 160–239 range.** Traders see no major product launches, political flashpoints, or SpaceX/Tesla milestones on the immediate horizon that would push daily volume into sustained high-engagement mode, so expectations anchor near the recent 180–199 settlement while allowing room for routine replies, quotes, and platform commentary to land in adjacent bins. Weekend slowdowns and the absence of breaking industry news keep multiple neighboring outcomes competitive, underscoring how quickly external events can alter Musk’s cadence on the platform.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions