**Soft Thursday previews of just $850K have anchored trader sentiment toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for Ridley Scott’s The Dog Stars, with the 97.2% market-implied probability reflecting sharply downgraded tracking.** The post-apocalyptic thriller, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, entered the frame with mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes hovering near 40%) that cooled expectations after earlier $18–23 million forecasts. Its late-August counterprogramming slot against stronger holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, combined with limited presales and competition from Coyote vs. Acme, has reinforced the muted outlook for this $70–110 million production. An upset to the $8–9 million range or higher would require unexpectedly robust Friday walk-ups and word-of-mouth that overcomes the current critical and preview headwinds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m 97.2%
8-9m 2.8%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$34,930 Vol.
$34,930 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<8m
97%
8-9m
3%
9-10m
1%
10-11m
<1%
11-12m
<1%
12m+
<1%
<8m 97.2%
8-9m 2.8%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$34,930 Vol.
$34,930 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<8m
$23,790 Vol.
97%
8-9m
$4,773 Vol.
3%
9-10m
$4,077 Vol.
1%
10-11m
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
11-12m
$371 Vol.
<1%
12m+
$841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Soft Thursday previews of just $850K have anchored trader sentiment toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for Ridley Scott’s The Dog Stars, with the 97.2% market-implied probability reflecting sharply downgraded tracking.**
The post-apocalyptic thriller, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, entered the frame with mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes hovering near 40%) that cooled expectations after earlier $18–23 million forecasts. Its late-August counterprogramming slot against stronger holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, combined with limited presales and competition from Coyote vs. Acme, has reinforced the muted outlook for this $70–110 million production. An upset to the $8–9 million range or higher would require unexpectedly robust Friday walk-ups and word-of-mouth that overcomes the current critical and preview headwinds.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$34,930End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Soft Thursday previews of just $850K have anchored trader sentiment toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for Ridley Scott’s The Dog Stars, with the 97.2% market-implied probability reflecting sharply downgraded tracking.**
The post-apocalyptic thriller, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, entered the frame with mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes hovering near 40%) that cooled expectations after earlier $18–23 million forecasts. Its late-August counterprogramming slot against stronger holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, combined with limited presales and competition from Coyote vs. Acme, has reinforced the muted outlook for this $70–110 million production. An upset to the $8–9 million range or higher would require unexpectedly robust Friday walk-ups and word-of-mouth that overcomes the current critical and preview headwinds.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$34,930End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Soft Thursday previews of just $850K have anchored trader sentiment toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for Ridley Scott’s The Dog Stars, with the 97.2% market-implied probability reflecting sharply downgraded tracking.** The post-apocalyptic thriller, starring Jacob Elordi and Josh Brolin, entered the frame with mixed-to-poor reviews (Rotten Tomatoes hovering near 40%) that cooled expectations after earlier $18–23 million forecasts. Its late-August counterprogramming slot against stronger holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, combined with limited presales and competition from Coyote vs. Acme, has reinforced the muted outlook for this $70–110 million production. An upset to the $8–9 million range or higher would require unexpectedly robust Friday walk-ups and word-of-mouth that overcomes the current critical and preview headwinds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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