Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 25–September 1 window sits in a tight contest between the 140–159 and 160–179 brackets, reflecting traders’ assessment of his established posting rhythm of roughly 18–25 posts per day. Recent weeks have shown steady activity tied to Tesla and xAI updates plus political commentary, with no major new product launches or crises yet pushing the count outside that band. The market’s near-even split underscores the influence of daily variability—weekend lulls versus midweek spikes—and the absence of a single overriding catalyst through the final days of the period. Historical patterns suggest any late-breaking news event could still nudge the total across the 160 threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 30%
140-159 27.4%
180-199 19%
120-139 11.9%
$1,119,097 Vol.
$1,119,097 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
12%
140-159
27%
160-179
30%
180-199
19%
200-219
8%
220-239
3%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 30%
140-159 27.4%
180-199 19%
120-139 11.9%
$1,119,097 Vol.
$1,119,097 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
12%
140-159
27%
160-179
30%
180-199
19%
200-219
8%
220-239
3%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 25–September 1 window sits in a tight contest between the 140–159 and 160–179 brackets, reflecting traders’ assessment of his established posting rhythm of roughly 18–25 posts per day. Recent weeks have shown steady activity tied to Tesla and xAI updates plus political commentary, with no major new product launches or crises yet pushing the count outside that band. The market’s near-even split underscores the influence of daily variability—weekend lulls versus midweek spikes—and the absence of a single overriding catalyst through the final days of the period. Historical patterns suggest any late-breaking news event could still nudge the total across the 160 threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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