**Trader sentiment for Panama City, Panama's daily minimum temperature on September 7, 2026, centers on 25°C (54.5% implied probability) and 20°C or below (44.5%), with other outcomes at 4.5% or less.** Persistent tropical conditions during the rainy season drive this positioning. High humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal range where minima typically cluster near 25°C just before dawn. Current forecasts from multiple sources consistently show overnight lows of 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and light winds, aligning with historical September baselines around 23–26°C. The elevated share for 20°C or below likely reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence, which could enhance cooling if clearer skies emerge overnight. No major synoptic shifts, such as unusual cold surges, have altered the pattern recently. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
20°C or below 89%
21°C 9%
22°C 9%
23°C 9%
$634 Vol.
$634 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
20°C or below
89%
21°C
9%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
54%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 89%
21°C 9%
22°C 9%
23°C 9%
$634 Vol.
$634 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
89%
21°C
$5 Vol.
9%
22°C
$5 Vol.
9%
23°C
$25 Vol.
9%
24°C
$30 Vol.
1%
25°C
$118 Vol.
54%
26°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Panama City, Panama's daily minimum temperature on September 7, 2026, centers on 25°C (54.5% implied probability) and 20°C or below (44.5%), with other outcomes at 4.5% or less.**
Persistent tropical conditions during the rainy season drive this positioning. High humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal range where minima typically cluster near 25°C just before dawn. Current forecasts from multiple sources consistently show overnight lows of 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and light winds, aligning with historical September baselines around 23–26°C.
The elevated share for 20°C or below likely reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence, which could enhance cooling if clearer skies emerge overnight. No major synoptic shifts, such as unusual cold surges, have altered the pattern recently. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$634End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Panama City, Panama's daily minimum temperature on September 7, 2026, centers on 25°C (54.5% implied probability) and 20°C or below (44.5%), with other outcomes at 4.5% or less.**
Persistent tropical conditions during the rainy season drive this positioning. High humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal range where minima typically cluster near 25°C just before dawn. Current forecasts from multiple sources consistently show overnight lows of 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and light winds, aligning with historical September baselines around 23–26°C.
The elevated share for 20°C or below likely reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence, which could enhance cooling if clearer skies emerge overnight. No major synoptic shifts, such as unusual cold surges, have altered the pattern recently. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$634End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Panama City, Panama's daily minimum temperature on September 7, 2026, centers on 25°C (54.5% implied probability) and 20°C or below (44.5%), with other outcomes at 4.5% or less.** Persistent tropical conditions during the rainy season drive this positioning. High humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal range where minima typically cluster near 25°C just before dawn. Current forecasts from multiple sources consistently show overnight lows of 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and light winds, aligning with historical September baselines around 23–26°C. The elevated share for 20°C or below likely reflects uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence, which could enhance cooling if clearer skies emerge overnight. No major synoptic shifts, such as unusual cold surges, have altered the pattern recently. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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