Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 24, supported by a persistent warm, humid air mass and frequent cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. Light variable winds, shifting from south to north, further reduce temperature drops by mixing warmer air near the surface. Historical averages for the date hover near 76–77°F, but model consensus currently favors readings around 75°F, with the 74–77°F range capturing the bulk of trader positioning. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing and any early frontal influence, which could allow slightly greater cooling or maintain warmer conditions into the morning hours. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 23 will refine these narrow probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 24?
76-77°F 39%
68-69°F 34%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 39%
68-69°F 34%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
34%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
5%
86°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 24, supported by a persistent warm, humid air mass and frequent cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. Light variable winds, shifting from south to north, further reduce temperature drops by mixing warmer air near the surface. Historical averages for the date hover near 76–77°F, but model consensus currently favors readings around 75°F, with the 74–77°F range capturing the bulk of trader positioning. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing and any early frontal influence, which could allow slightly greater cooling or maintain warmer conditions into the morning hours. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 23 will refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 24, supported by a persistent warm, humid air mass and frequent cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. Light variable winds, shifting from south to north, further reduce temperature drops by mixing warmer air near the surface. Historical averages for the date hover near 76–77°F, but model consensus currently favors readings around 75°F, with the 74–77°F range capturing the bulk of trader positioning. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing and any early frontal influence, which could allow slightly greater cooling or maintain warmer conditions into the morning hours. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 23 will refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 24, supported by a persistent warm, humid air mass and frequent cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. Light variable winds, shifting from south to north, further reduce temperature drops by mixing warmer air near the surface. Historical averages for the date hover near 76–77°F, but model consensus currently favors readings around 75°F, with the 74–77°F range capturing the bulk of trader positioning. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing and any early frontal influence, which could allow slightly greater cooling or maintain warmer conditions into the morning hours. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 23 will refine these narrow probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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