National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations from DFW Airport anchor trader consensus around a 100-101°F high for Dallas on September 7, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover. Official guidance consistently projected a peak near 101°F with heat indices reaching 106-107°F amid a prolonged dry spell exceeding 50 days. This aligns with climatological patterns of late-summer heat in North Texas when subtropical ridging suppresses precipitation. Minor model variations or localized urban heat effects could push readings to 102°F, but sustained clear conditions and consistent agency data make significant deviations unlikely before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 7?
100-101°F 100.0%
102-103°F <1%
104-105°F <1%
89°F or below <1%
$46,695 Vol.
$46,695 Vol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 100.0%
102-103°F <1%
104-105°F <1%
89°F or below <1%
$46,695 Vol.
$46,695 Vol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations from DFW Airport anchor trader consensus around a 100-101°F high for Dallas on September 7, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover. Official guidance consistently projected a peak near 101°F with heat indices reaching 106-107°F amid a prolonged dry spell exceeding 50 days. This aligns with climatological patterns of late-summer heat in North Texas when subtropical ridging suppresses precipitation. Minor model variations or localized urban heat effects could push readings to 102°F, but sustained clear conditions and consistent agency data make significant deviations unlikely before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions