Official forecasts for Jeddah on September 7 project a daily minimum near 30–31°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwest winds, and warm Red Sea moisture that limit nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows typically range 27–30°C, with recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local stations showing stable conditions and no significant cold advection or increased cloud cover to drive further drops. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C as the resolution threshold, reflecting trader assessment of these atmospheric factors, while lower outcomes remain possible only with unexpected model shifts in the final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 7?
31°C 99%
27°C 8%
25°C or below 7%
26°C 7%
$977 Vol.
$977 Vol.
25°C or below
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
8%
28°C
-
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99%
27°C 8%
25°C or below 7%
26°C 7%
$977 Vol.
$977 Vol.
25°C or below
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
8%
28°C
-
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Jeddah on September 7 project a daily minimum near 30–31°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwest winds, and warm Red Sea moisture that limit nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows typically range 27–30°C, with recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local stations showing stable conditions and no significant cold advection or increased cloud cover to drive further drops. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C as the resolution threshold, reflecting trader assessment of these atmospheric factors, while lower outcomes remain possible only with unexpected model shifts in the final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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