**Trader consensus for a 36°C daily high in Jeddah on September 7 reflects current forecast model outputs projecting a peak near that threshold under typical late-summer conditions.** Jeddah’s hot desert climate (BWh) features strong solar heating and minimal cloud cover in early September, with historical averages showing daytime maxima of 35–37°C and lows near 29°C. Recent model runs align closely with these baselines, supporting the near-certain implied probability for 36°C while assigning negligible odds to deviations. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official observations from Jeddah’s primary weather station, unexpected increases in humidity or wind that moderate peak heating, or late-day convective activity not currently indicated. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or real-time station data remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 7?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,055 Vol.
$29,055 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,055 Vol.
$29,055 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for a 36°C daily high in Jeddah on September 7 reflects current forecast model outputs projecting a peak near that threshold under typical late-summer conditions.** Jeddah’s hot desert climate (BWh) features strong solar heating and minimal cloud cover in early September, with historical averages showing daytime maxima of 35–37°C and lows near 29°C. Recent model runs align closely with these baselines, supporting the near-certain implied probability for 36°C while assigning negligible odds to deviations. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official observations from Jeddah’s primary weather station, unexpected increases in humidity or wind that moderate peak heating, or late-day convective activity not currently indicated. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or real-time station data remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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