Recent model consensus for Jeddah on September 9 projects an overnight minimum near 28–30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity near 50–70%. These conditions limit radiative cooling over the Red Sea coast, where sea surface temperatures around 31°C provide modest moderation compared with inland desert sites. Historical September minima average near 28°C, with typical diurnal ranges of 6–8°C in this arid climate. Close market-implied probabilities around 29°C versus warmer thresholds reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover and dew-point forecasts, which can alter nocturnal heat retention by 1–3°C. Updated runs from global models will refine the precise low ahead of the 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 9?
34°C or higher 71%
29°C 37%
30°C 28%
31°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
37%
30°C
28%
31°C
27%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
71%
34°C or higher 71%
29°C 37%
30°C 28%
31°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$22 Vol.
5%
25°C
$22 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$35 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
37%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$0 Vol.
27%
32°C
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$22 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Jeddah on September 9 projects an overnight minimum near 28–30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity near 50–70%. These conditions limit radiative cooling over the Red Sea coast, where sea surface temperatures around 31°C provide modest moderation compared with inland desert sites. Historical September minima average near 28°C, with typical diurnal ranges of 6–8°C in this arid climate. Close market-implied probabilities around 29°C versus warmer thresholds reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover and dew-point forecasts, which can alter nocturnal heat retention by 1–3°C. Updated runs from global models will refine the precise low ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$101End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Jeddah on September 9 projects an overnight minimum near 28–30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity near 50–70%. These conditions limit radiative cooling over the Red Sea coast, where sea surface temperatures around 31°C provide modest moderation compared with inland desert sites. Historical September minima average near 28°C, with typical diurnal ranges of 6–8°C in this arid climate. Close market-implied probabilities around 29°C versus warmer thresholds reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover and dew-point forecasts, which can alter nocturnal heat retention by 1–3°C. Updated runs from global models will refine the precise low ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Jeddah on September 9 projects an overnight minimum near 28–30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity near 50–70%. These conditions limit radiative cooling over the Red Sea coast, where sea surface temperatures around 31°C provide modest moderation compared with inland desert sites. Historical September minima average near 28°C, with typical diurnal ranges of 6–8°C in this arid climate. Close market-implied probabilities around 29°C versus warmer thresholds reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover and dew-point forecasts, which can alter nocturnal heat retention by 1–3°C. Updated runs from global models will refine the precise low ahead of the 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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