**Persistent high pressure and a strong southerly flow of warm, moist air are keeping overnight lows elevated across North Texas.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models show Dallas/DFW area lows for the night of September 7–8 in the 80–84°F range, with clear skies and dew points near 70°F limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 82–85°F bins, reflecting the ongoing heat wave that has produced 100°F+ highs and consecutive days without measurable rain. **The warm air mass and lack of frontal passage or cloud cover are the dominant drivers.** Historical September 8 lows average near 73°F, but current conditions are running well above normal, with heat indices above 105°F during the day. Recent model runs and NWS guidance have shown little change over the past 24–48 hours, supporting trader consensus around the low-to-mid 80s while leaving modest probability on slightly cooler 80–81°F outcomes if winds calm more than expected. No significant shifts in the pattern are anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
84-85°F 42%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 42%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
71°F or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$76 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$111 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$33 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$28 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$60 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$35 Vol.
42%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$153 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$28 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and a strong southerly flow of warm, moist air are keeping overnight lows elevated across North Texas.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models show Dallas/DFW area lows for the night of September 7–8 in the 80–84°F range, with clear skies and dew points near 70°F limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 82–85°F bins, reflecting the ongoing heat wave that has produced 100°F+ highs and consecutive days without measurable rain.
**The warm air mass and lack of frontal passage or cloud cover are the dominant drivers.** Historical September 8 lows average near 73°F, but current conditions are running well above normal, with heat indices above 105°F during the day. Recent model runs and NWS guidance have shown little change over the past 24–48 hours, supporting trader consensus around the low-to-mid 80s while leaving modest probability on slightly cooler 80–81°F outcomes if winds calm more than expected. No significant shifts in the pattern are anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$780End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and a strong southerly flow of warm, moist air are keeping overnight lows elevated across North Texas.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models show Dallas/DFW area lows for the night of September 7–8 in the 80–84°F range, with clear skies and dew points near 70°F limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 82–85°F bins, reflecting the ongoing heat wave that has produced 100°F+ highs and consecutive days without measurable rain.
**The warm air mass and lack of frontal passage or cloud cover are the dominant drivers.** Historical September 8 lows average near 73°F, but current conditions are running well above normal, with heat indices above 105°F during the day. Recent model runs and NWS guidance have shown little change over the past 24–48 hours, supporting trader consensus around the low-to-mid 80s while leaving modest probability on slightly cooler 80–81°F outcomes if winds calm more than expected. No significant shifts in the pattern are anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$780End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high pressure and a strong southerly flow of warm, moist air are keeping overnight lows elevated across North Texas.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and multiple models show Dallas/DFW area lows for the night of September 7–8 in the 80–84°F range, with clear skies and dew points near 70°F limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 82–85°F bins, reflecting the ongoing heat wave that has produced 100°F+ highs and consecutive days without measurable rain. **The warm air mass and lack of frontal passage or cloud cover are the dominant drivers.** Historical September 8 lows average near 73°F, but current conditions are running well above normal, with heat indices above 105°F during the day. Recent model runs and NWS guidance have shown little change over the past 24–48 hours, supporting trader consensus around the low-to-mid 80s while leaving modest probability on slightly cooler 80–81°F outcomes if winds calm more than expected. No significant shifts in the pattern are anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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