A persistent ridge of high pressure over North Texas has sustained a multi-week heat wave, driving forecast highs for Dallas on September 8 near 100–101°F under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dew points in the upper 60s that elevate heat indices above 105°F. National Weather Service and other models show strong consensus on this range, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 92°F, with no precipitation or frontal passage expected to alter conditions. Trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and limited model spread, though minor variations in afternoon maximum readings could shift outcomes slightly higher or lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
100-101°F 68%
98-99°F 16%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 68%
98-99°F 16%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
91°F or below
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$214 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$373 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$144 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$1,968 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$1,645 Vol.
68%
102-103°F
$935 Vol.
14%
104-105°F
$403 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$57 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$409 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent ridge of high pressure over North Texas has sustained a multi-week heat wave, driving forecast highs for Dallas on September 8 near 100–101°F under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dew points in the upper 60s that elevate heat indices above 105°F. National Weather Service and other models show strong consensus on this range, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 92°F, with no precipitation or frontal passage expected to alter conditions. Trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and limited model spread, though minor variations in afternoon maximum readings could shift outcomes slightly higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,434End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent ridge of high pressure over North Texas has sustained a multi-week heat wave, driving forecast highs for Dallas on September 8 near 100–101°F under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dew points in the upper 60s that elevate heat indices above 105°F. National Weather Service and other models show strong consensus on this range, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 92°F, with no precipitation or frontal passage expected to alter conditions. Trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and limited model spread, though minor variations in afternoon maximum readings could shift outcomes slightly higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,434End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent ridge of high pressure over North Texas has sustained a multi-week heat wave, driving forecast highs for Dallas on September 8 near 100–101°F under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dew points in the upper 60s that elevate heat indices above 105°F. National Weather Service and other models show strong consensus on this range, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 92°F, with no precipitation or frontal passage expected to alter conditions. Trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and limited model spread, though minor variations in afternoon maximum readings could shift outcomes slightly higher or lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions