Recent northerly winds and widespread light rain across Beijing have driven a sharp cooldown from prior highs near 28–29°C, with official forecasts converging on a maximum of 21–24°C under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Model runs highlight subtle differences in rainfall timing and intensity as the key variables separating 23°C versus 24°C outcomes, while dew points around 14–16°C and light winds further constrain afternoon peaks. Traders' tight clustering around these values reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of late-summer frontal passages, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded before evening clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
24°C 29%
23°C 28%
22°C 21%
25°C 13%
NEW
$29,554 Vol.
NEW
$29,554 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
21%
23°C
28%
24°C
29%
25°C
13%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 29%
23°C 28%
22°C 21%
25°C 13%
NEW
$29,554 Vol.
NEW
$29,554 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
19°C or below
$4,950 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,103 Vol.
3%
21°C
$4,446 Vol.
10%
22°C
$5,339 Vol.
21%
23°C
$1,907 Vol.
28%
24°C
$2,711 Vol.
29%
25°C
$1,519 Vol.
13%
26°C
$971 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,503 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$876 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and widespread light rain across Beijing have driven a sharp cooldown from prior highs near 28–29°C, with official forecasts converging on a maximum of 21–24°C under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Model runs highlight subtle differences in rainfall timing and intensity as the key variables separating 23°C versus 24°C outcomes, while dew points around 14–16°C and light winds further constrain afternoon peaks. Traders' tight clustering around these values reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of late-summer frontal passages, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded before evening clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$29,554End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and widespread light rain across Beijing have driven a sharp cooldown from prior highs near 28–29°C, with official forecasts converging on a maximum of 21–24°C under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Model runs highlight subtle differences in rainfall timing and intensity as the key variables separating 23°C versus 24°C outcomes, while dew points around 14–16°C and light winds further constrain afternoon peaks. Traders' tight clustering around these values reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of late-summer frontal passages, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded before evening clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,554End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and widespread light rain across Beijing have driven a sharp cooldown from prior highs near 28–29°C, with official forecasts converging on a maximum of 21–24°C under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Model runs highlight subtle differences in rainfall timing and intensity as the key variables separating 23°C versus 24°C outcomes, while dew points around 14–16°C and light winds further constrain afternoon peaks. Traders' tight clustering around these values reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of late-summer frontal passages, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded before evening clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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