NWS forecasts for Miami on September 8 project a high near 89–90°F under mostly sunny skies with a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer sea-breeze convergence and high humidity that caps extreme heating. Recent model runs and observations from the prior week, when daily maxima reached 90–93°F amid similar patterns, support the market's leading 53.5% implied probability on 90–91°F while assigning 26% to 92–93°F if convection remains limited. The 17.5% on 88–89°F reflects downside risk from stronger storm activity or earlier cloud cover, consistent with climatological variability in early September when average highs hover near 86–88°F but recent conditions have trended warmer. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 8?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
90-91°F 55%
92-93°F 26%
88-89°F 17%
86-87°F 3%
NEW
$11,498 Vol.
NEW
$11,498 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
55%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 55%
92-93°F 26%
88-89°F 17%
86-87°F 3%
NEW
$11,498 Vol.
NEW
$11,498 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
79°F or below
$346 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$144 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$446 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$311 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$390 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$4,194 Vol.
17%
90-91°F
$2,833 Vol.
55%
92-93°F
$1,421 Vol.
26%
94-95°F
$771 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$297 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts for Miami on September 8 project a high near 89–90°F under mostly sunny skies with a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer sea-breeze convergence and high humidity that caps extreme heating. Recent model runs and observations from the prior week, when daily maxima reached 90–93°F amid similar patterns, support the market's leading 53.5% implied probability on 90–91°F while assigning 26% to 92–93°F if convection remains limited. The 17.5% on 88–89°F reflects downside risk from stronger storm activity or earlier cloud cover, consistent with climatological variability in early September when average highs hover near 86–88°F but recent conditions have trended warmer. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,498End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts for Miami on September 8 project a high near 89–90°F under mostly sunny skies with a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer sea-breeze convergence and high humidity that caps extreme heating. Recent model runs and observations from the prior week, when daily maxima reached 90–93°F amid similar patterns, support the market's leading 53.5% implied probability on 90–91°F while assigning 26% to 92–93°F if convection remains limited. The 17.5% on 88–89°F reflects downside risk from stronger storm activity or earlier cloud cover, consistent with climatological variability in early September when average highs hover near 86–88°F but recent conditions have trended warmer. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,498End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...NWS forecasts for Miami on September 8 project a high near 89–90°F under mostly sunny skies with a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer sea-breeze convergence and high humidity that caps extreme heating. Recent model runs and observations from the prior week, when daily maxima reached 90–93°F amid similar patterns, support the market's leading 53.5% implied probability on 90–91°F while assigning 26% to 92–93°F if convection remains limited. The 17.5% on 88–89°F reflects downside risk from stronger storm activity or earlier cloud cover, consistent with climatological variability in early September when average highs hover near 86–88°F but recent conditions have trended warmer. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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