Trader consensus centers on a 76-77°F low for Dallas on September 22, reflecting observed overnight conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds near 5 mph, and elevated dew points around 70°F that limited radiational cooling. National Weather Service data recorded a minimum of 73°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, several degrees above the 1991-2020 normal of 66°F, consistent with a broader warm pattern featuring highs near 96°F and minimal precipitation. Model guidance and surface observations showed little overnight mixing or frontal influence to drive sharper drops, supporting elevated probabilities for the 72-76°F range while leaving room for minor station variations or reporting adjustments. Upcoming climatological summaries will finalize resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 22?
66-67°F 75%
68-69°F 54%
65°F or below 51%
70-71°F 46%
$409 Vol.
$409 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
65°F or below
51%
66-67°F
75%
68-69°F
54%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
-
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 75%
68-69°F 54%
65°F or below 51%
70-71°F 46%
$409 Vol.
$409 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
65°F or below
$0 Vol.
51%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
75%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
54%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
46%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
46%
74-75°F
$25 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$93 Vol.
-
78-79°F
$277 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 76-77°F low for Dallas on September 22, reflecting observed overnight conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds near 5 mph, and elevated dew points around 70°F that limited radiational cooling. National Weather Service data recorded a minimum of 73°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, several degrees above the 1991-2020 normal of 66°F, consistent with a broader warm pattern featuring highs near 96°F and minimal precipitation. Model guidance and surface observations showed little overnight mixing or frontal influence to drive sharper drops, supporting elevated probabilities for the 72-76°F range while leaving room for minor station variations or reporting adjustments. Upcoming climatological summaries will finalize resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$409End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 76-77°F low for Dallas on September 22, reflecting observed overnight conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds near 5 mph, and elevated dew points around 70°F that limited radiational cooling. National Weather Service data recorded a minimum of 73°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, several degrees above the 1991-2020 normal of 66°F, consistent with a broader warm pattern featuring highs near 96°F and minimal precipitation. Model guidance and surface observations showed little overnight mixing or frontal influence to drive sharper drops, supporting elevated probabilities for the 72-76°F range while leaving room for minor station variations or reporting adjustments. Upcoming climatological summaries will finalize resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$409End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 76-77°F low for Dallas on September 22, reflecting observed overnight conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds near 5 mph, and elevated dew points around 70°F that limited radiational cooling. National Weather Service data recorded a minimum of 73°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, several degrees above the 1991-2020 normal of 66°F, consistent with a broader warm pattern featuring highs near 96°F and minimal precipitation. Model guidance and surface observations showed little overnight mixing or frontal influence to drive sharper drops, supporting elevated probabilities for the 72-76°F range while leaving room for minor station variations or reporting adjustments. Upcoming climatological summaries will finalize resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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