**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 13°C low in Cape Town on September 7 due to consistent short-range forecast guidance and current observations showing clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight.** Multiple models project minimum temperatures settling near this level as high pressure maintains stable conditions, with dew points around 13°C supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs reached the mid-20s°C. This aligns with typical early-spring patterns in the region, where September overnight lows often range 10–16°C depending on cloud cover and wind. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects strong model consensus rather than outlier runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or revisions in official station data that push the recorded minimum above 14°C or below 12°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
13°C 95%
9°C or below 9%
10°C 9%
11°C 9%
$1,479 Vol.
$1,479 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
9%
10°C
9%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
95%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 95%
9°C or below 9%
10°C 9%
11°C 9%
$1,479 Vol.
$1,479 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
9%
10°C
$25 Vol.
9%
11°C
$25 Vol.
9%
12°C
$73 Vol.
9%
13°C
$562 Vol.
95%
14°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 13°C low in Cape Town on September 7 due to consistent short-range forecast guidance and current observations showing clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight.**
Multiple models project minimum temperatures settling near this level as high pressure maintains stable conditions, with dew points around 13°C supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs reached the mid-20s°C. This aligns with typical early-spring patterns in the region, where September overnight lows often range 10–16°C depending on cloud cover and wind. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects strong model consensus rather than outlier runs.
A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or revisions in official station data that push the recorded minimum above 14°C or below 12°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,479End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 13°C low in Cape Town on September 7 due to consistent short-range forecast guidance and current observations showing clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight.**
Multiple models project minimum temperatures settling near this level as high pressure maintains stable conditions, with dew points around 13°C supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs reached the mid-20s°C. This aligns with typical early-spring patterns in the region, where September overnight lows often range 10–16°C depending on cloud cover and wind. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects strong model consensus rather than outlier runs.
A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or revisions in official station data that push the recorded minimum above 14°C or below 12°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,479End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 13°C low in Cape Town on September 7 due to consistent short-range forecast guidance and current observations showing clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight.** Multiple models project minimum temperatures settling near this level as high pressure maintains stable conditions, with dew points around 13°C supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs reached the mid-20s°C. This aligns with typical early-spring patterns in the region, where September overnight lows often range 10–16°C depending on cloud cover and wind. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects strong model consensus rather than outlier runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or revisions in official station data that push the recorded minimum above 14°C or below 12°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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