Recent forecasts from KNMI and major models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 26 will likely settle between 14–17°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C, 14°C, and 15°C. Easterly flow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with dew points near 10–13°C, supports moderate radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This follows several days of above-normal warmth across the Netherlands, though the pattern remains stable ahead of Thursday’s expected thunderstorm activity. Model consensus shows limited spread for the minimum, with any downward revisions possible only if clearer skies develop overnight than currently projected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
16°C 43%
15°C 27%
14°C 18%
12°C or below 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
11%
13°C
1%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
43%
17°C
10%
18°C
7%
19°C
7%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
6%
16°C 43%
15°C 27%
14°C 18%
12°C or below 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
$145 Vol.
11%
13°C
$100 Vol.
1%
14°C
$9 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
43%
17°C
$0 Vol.
10%
18°C
$30 Vol.
7%
19°C
$80 Vol.
7%
20°C
$135 Vol.
7%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from KNMI and major models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 26 will likely settle between 14–17°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C, 14°C, and 15°C. Easterly flow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with dew points near 10–13°C, supports moderate radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This follows several days of above-normal warmth across the Netherlands, though the pattern remains stable ahead of Thursday’s expected thunderstorm activity. Model consensus shows limited spread for the minimum, with any downward revisions possible only if clearer skies develop overnight than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$509End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from KNMI and major models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 26 will likely settle between 14–17°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C, 14°C, and 15°C. Easterly flow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with dew points near 10–13°C, supports moderate radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This follows several days of above-normal warmth across the Netherlands, though the pattern remains stable ahead of Thursday’s expected thunderstorm activity. Model consensus shows limited spread for the minimum, with any downward revisions possible only if clearer skies develop overnight than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$509End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from KNMI and major models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 26 will likely settle between 14–17°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C, 14°C, and 15°C. Easterly flow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, combined with dew points near 10–13°C, supports moderate radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This follows several days of above-normal warmth across the Netherlands, though the pattern remains stable ahead of Thursday’s expected thunderstorm activity. Model consensus shows limited spread for the minimum, with any downward revisions possible only if clearer skies develop overnight than currently projected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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