Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Quebec Elections

La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Quebec Elections

La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Frédéric Côté 43%

Sonia Ziadé 41%

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise 41%

Francine van Winden 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Frédéric Côté 43%

Sonia Ziadé 41%

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise 41%

Francine van Winden 25%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Frédéric Côté

Frédéric Côté

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Sonia Ziadé

Sonia Ziadé

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Francine van Winden

Francine van Winden

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The open seat in La Prairie, following Christian Dubé’s departure from the Coalition Avenir Québec caucus and decision not to seek re-election, has produced a competitive field ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial vote. Main candidates include Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise (CAQ), Frédéric Côté (Parti Québécois), Sonia Ziadé (Liberal), Francine van Winden (Québec solidaire), and Marie Pelletier (Conservative), with nominations closing September 17. The riding’s 2022 CAQ margin and current provincial standings give the party a structural edge, yet trader prices remain tightly clustered near 44–50% because early-campaign dynamics, voter shifts on the new electoral map, turnout patterns, and potential late movement among opposition parties have not yet produced clear separation. Scheduled advance polls and ongoing party platform releases through September could alter positioning before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The open seat in La Prairie, following Christian Dubé’s departure from the Coalition Avenir Québec caucus and decision not to seek re-election, has produced a competitive field ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial vote. Main candidates include Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise (CAQ), Frédéric Côté (Parti Québécois), Sonia Ziadé (Liberal), Francine van Winden (Québec solidaire), and Marie Pelletier (Conservative), with nominations closing September 17. The riding’s 2022 CAQ margin and current provincial standings give the party a structural edge, yet trader prices remain tightly clustered near 44–50% because early-campaign dynamics, voter shifts on the new electoral map, turnout patterns, and potential late movement among opposition parties have not yet produced clear separation. Scheduled advance polls and ongoing party platform releases through September could alter positioning before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Related

icon for Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

47%
icon for Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

46%
icon for Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?

30%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Frédéric Côté" at 43%, followed by "Sonia Ziadé" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Frédéric Côté" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sonia Ziadé" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.