Russia’s State Duma elections are scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, under a mixed electoral system allocating 225 seats via party lists (5% threshold) and 225 via single-member districts. United Russia maintains a strong lead in recent polls, though support has softened since 2021, while CPRF, LDPR, Just Russia, and New People remain positioned to clear the threshold and retain representation. Campaigning began in late August amid the first national vote since the Ukraine conflict, with emphasis on SVO veterans as candidates and participation from new regions. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko’s list reduced the field of registered parties, further limiting opposition options. Trader focus centers on whether any non-parliamentary parties can secure even a single seat amid controlled registration and three-day voting procedures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
51%

Rodina
51%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
51%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
50%
$0.00 Vol.

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
51%

Rodina
51%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
51%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s State Duma elections are scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, under a mixed electoral system allocating 225 seats via party lists (5% threshold) and 225 via single-member districts. United Russia maintains a strong lead in recent polls, though support has softened since 2021, while CPRF, LDPR, Just Russia, and New People remain positioned to clear the threshold and retain representation. Campaigning began in late August amid the first national vote since the Ukraine conflict, with emphasis on SVO veterans as candidates and participation from new regions. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko’s list reduced the field of registered parties, further limiting opposition options. Trader focus centers on whether any non-parliamentary parties can secure even a single seat amid controlled registration and three-day voting procedures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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