Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Étienne Grandmont 47%

Vincent Marissal 7.5%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 5.0%

Farnell Morisset 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Étienne Grandmont 47%

Vincent Marissal 7.5%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 5.0%

Farnell Morisset 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Étienne Grandmont

Étienne Grandmont

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Vincent Marissal

Vincent Marissal

$186 Vol.

8%

icon for Eliot Estévez-Verville

Eliot Estévez-Verville

$410 Vol.

9%

icon for Farnell Morisset

Farnell Morisset

$311 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Taschereau riding in Quebec City features a fragmented field ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with incumbent Étienne Grandmont of Québec solidaire facing challengers from the Parti Québécois (Christian Savard), Coalition Avenir Québec (Brigitte Martin), Liberals (Farnell Morisset), and Conservatives (Eliot Estévez-Verville). Recent PQ candidate instability, including the brief announcement and exclusion of Vincent Marissal before Savard’s late-August selection, has added uncertainty without consolidating opposition support. The riding’s urban, progressive profile and Grandmont’s 2022 margin keep QS positioned as the frontrunner in models, yet trader consensus remains tight amid split opposition votes and early-campaign provincial trends that could shift turnout or preferences before nominations close in mid-September.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$906
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Taschereau riding in Quebec City features a fragmented field ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with incumbent Étienne Grandmont of Québec solidaire facing challengers from the Parti Québécois (Christian Savard), Coalition Avenir Québec (Brigitte Martin), Liberals (Farnell Morisset), and Conservatives (Eliot Estévez-Verville). Recent PQ candidate instability, including the brief announcement and exclusion of Vincent Marissal before Savard’s late-August selection, has added uncertainty without consolidating opposition support. The riding’s urban, progressive profile and Grandmont’s 2022 margin keep QS positioned as the frontrunner in models, yet trader consensus remains tight amid split opposition votes and early-campaign provincial trends that could shift turnout or preferences before nominations close in mid-September.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$906
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Related

icon for Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

44%
icon for Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

43%
icon for Will Guillaume Rousseau win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Guillaume Rousseau win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?

53%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Étienne Grandmont" at 47%, followed by "Eliot Estévez-Verville" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Étienne Grandmont" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eliot Estévez-Verville" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.