Recent polling has established AfD as the clear frontrunner in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, consistently placing the party near 40-43 percent against roughly 22-24 percent for the incumbent CDU, producing leads of 17-20 points. This positioning reflects sustained eastern German voter priorities on immigration, security, and economic concerns, alongside limited coalition options due to the firewall maintained by other parties. The market remains tightly balanced across AfD margin bands and the "Other" outcome because final results hinge on turnout among undecided voters, threshold crossings by smaller parties like the Left, SPD, and Greens, and any late shifts in support. A stronger-than-expected AfD performance or higher fragmentation among remaining parties could widen the margin, while elevated mobilization for mainstream options or unexpected BSW gains might narrow it or alter the plurality.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAfD 25%+ 43%
AfD 20-25% 43%
AfD 10-15% 43%
AfD <10% 43%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
AfD 25%+
43%
AfD 20-25%
43%
AfD 15-20%
43%
AfD 10-15%
43%
AfD <10%
43%
Other
43%
AfD 25%+ 43%
AfD 20-25% 43%
AfD 10-15% 43%
AfD <10% 43%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
AfD 25%+
$0 Vol.
43%
AfD 20-25%
$0 Vol.
43%
AfD 15-20%
$0 Vol.
43%
AfD 10-15%
$0 Vol.
43%
AfD <10%
$0 Vol.
43%
Other
$0 Vol.
43%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling has established AfD as the clear frontrunner in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, consistently placing the party near 40-43 percent against roughly 22-24 percent for the incumbent CDU, producing leads of 17-20 points. This positioning reflects sustained eastern German voter priorities on immigration, security, and economic concerns, alongside limited coalition options due to the firewall maintained by other parties. The market remains tightly balanced across AfD margin bands and the "Other" outcome because final results hinge on turnout among undecided voters, threshold crossings by smaller parties like the Left, SPD, and Greens, and any late shifts in support. A stronger-than-expected AfD performance or higher fragmentation among remaining parties could widen the margin, while elevated mobilization for mainstream options or unexpected BSW gains might narrow it or alter the plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling has established AfD as the clear frontrunner in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, consistently placing the party near 40-43 percent against roughly 22-24 percent for the incumbent CDU, producing leads of 17-20 points. This positioning reflects sustained eastern German voter priorities on immigration, security, and economic concerns, alongside limited coalition options due to the firewall maintained by other parties. The market remains tightly balanced across AfD margin bands and the "Other" outcome because final results hinge on turnout among undecided voters, threshold crossings by smaller parties like the Left, SPD, and Greens, and any late shifts in support. A stronger-than-expected AfD performance or higher fragmentation among remaining parties could widen the margin, while elevated mobilization for mainstream options or unexpected BSW gains might narrow it or alter the plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has established AfD as the clear frontrunner in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, consistently placing the party near 40-43 percent against roughly 22-24 percent for the incumbent CDU, producing leads of 17-20 points. This positioning reflects sustained eastern German voter priorities on immigration, security, and economic concerns, alongside limited coalition options due to the firewall maintained by other parties. The market remains tightly balanced across AfD margin bands and the "Other" outcome because final results hinge on turnout among undecided voters, threshold crossings by smaller parties like the Left, SPD, and Greens, and any late shifts in support. A stronger-than-expected AfD performance or higher fragmentation among remaining parties could widen the margin, while elevated mobilization for mainstream options or unexpected BSW gains might narrow it or alter the plurality.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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