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icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Sol Zanetti 29%

Claude Villeneuve 22%

Nancy Joannette 20%

Gertrude Bourdon 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Sol Zanetti 29%

Claude Villeneuve 22%

Nancy Joannette 20%

Gertrude Bourdon 19%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$30 Vol.

29%

icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$21 Vol.

22%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$12 Vol.

20%

icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$12 Vol.

19%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$599 Vol.

13%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City features a tight contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and challengers from the Parti québécois, Conservatives, Liberals, and Coalition Avenir Québec ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election. Recent provincial polling and by-election gains by the PQ have narrowed QS's historical edge in the district, where sovereignty-focused and progressive voters often split. Claude Villeneuve's late-August PQ nomination added a high-profile local candidate with municipal and party experience, while the other major-party contenders bring established profiles in the Capitale-Nationale region. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single outcome exceeding 30% implied probability and multiple viable paths depending on turnout and late-campaign momentum among the leading parties. Scheduled nomination deadlines and ongoing provincial polling trends through September could further shift positioning before votes are cast.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$675
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City features a tight contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and challengers from the Parti québécois, Conservatives, Liberals, and Coalition Avenir Québec ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election. Recent provincial polling and by-election gains by the PQ have narrowed QS's historical edge in the district, where sovereignty-focused and progressive voters often split. Claude Villeneuve's late-August PQ nomination added a high-profile local candidate with municipal and party experience, while the other major-party contenders bring established profiles in the Capitale-Nationale region. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single outcome exceeding 30% implied probability and multiple viable paths depending on turnout and late-campaign momentum among the leading parties. Scheduled nomination deadlines and ongoing provincial polling trends through September could further shift positioning before votes are cast.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$675
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sol Zanetti" at 29%, followed by "Claude Villeneuve" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Sol Zanetti" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude Villeneuve" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.