The 2026 Quebec general election campaign for Laviolette–Saint-Maurice opened after the writs were issued on August 27, with incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif (CAQ) stepping aside. This has produced a fragmented field featuring Guy Veillette for the CAQ, Élodie Murphy-Gauthier for the PQ, Charles Paquin for the Conservatives, Laurent Bélisle for the Liberals, and additional candidates from smaller parties. Projections from models such as 338Canada show the PQ and CAQ essentially tied in vote share, with the Conservatives holding notable regional support. The absence of an incumbent, combined with shifting provincial polling and the short window before nominations close on September 17, has kept implied probabilities clustered near even across several contenders. Late-campaign events such as candidate debates, turnout patterns in Shawinigan and La Tuque, or last-minute endorsements could separate the leaders before the October 5 vote.