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icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Rousseau 53%

David Poulin-Latulippe 25.8%

Bernard Sévigny 25%

Hugo Fontaine 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Guillaume Rousseau 53%

David Poulin-Latulippe 25.8%

Bernard Sévigny 25%

Hugo Fontaine 8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Guillaume Rousseau

Guillaume Rousseau

$558 Vol.

53%

icon for David Poulin-Latulippe

David Poulin-Latulippe

$30 Vol.

26%

icon for Bernard Sévigny

Bernard Sévigny

$17 Vol.

25%

icon for Hugo Fontaine

Hugo Fontaine

$101 Vol.

8%

icon for Dominic Bouffard

Dominic Bouffard

$167 Vol.

7%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race in Richmond, where CAQ candidate Guillaume Rousseau holds a modest edge in trader pricing over PQ nominee Bernard Sévigny, PLQ candidate Hugo Fontaine, and lower-probability options from QS and the Conservatives. Rousseau, a law professor and former PQ contender with direct involvement in Bill 21 and constitutional files, brings established regional ties and CAQ organizational support following his June nomination. Sévigny’s municipal leadership record and Fontaine’s media background add local visibility, while the riding’s boundary adjustments and the retirement of the prior CAQ MNA have opened the contest. Provincial polling trends showing a narrowing CAQ-PQ gap, combined with undecided voters and multi-party fragmentation, keep implied probabilities tight and sensitive to campaign developments such as leader visits, local economic messaging, or late shifts in turnout among key demographics.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$873
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race in Richmond, where CAQ candidate Guillaume Rousseau holds a modest edge in trader pricing over PQ nominee Bernard Sévigny, PLQ candidate Hugo Fontaine, and lower-probability options from QS and the Conservatives. Rousseau, a law professor and former PQ contender with direct involvement in Bill 21 and constitutional files, brings established regional ties and CAQ organizational support following his June nomination. Sévigny’s municipal leadership record and Fontaine’s media background add local visibility, while the riding’s boundary adjustments and the retirement of the prior CAQ MNA have opened the contest. Provincial polling trends showing a narrowing CAQ-PQ gap, combined with undecided voters and multi-party fragmentation, keep implied probabilities tight and sensitive to campaign developments such as leader visits, local economic messaging, or late shifts in turnout among key demographics.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$873
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 53%, followed by "David Poulin-Latulippe" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Poulin-Latulippe" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.