Recent late-August polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and others place the CDU at 22-23 percent, projecting roughly 18-22 seats in the 83-seat Landtag ahead of the September 6 election, well below its 2021 result of 40 seats. This decline amid AfD strength near 40-42 percent has compressed projections into overlapping seat ranges, with traders assigning near-equal weight to bins around 17-25 seats. Uncertainty stems from roughly 10 percent undecided voters, variable turnout, and the 5 percent threshold's impact on smaller parties like the Left, SPD, and Greens, which could alter remainder seats. Final campaign events, mobilization efforts by the Schulze-led CDU, or last-minute shifts in preference could widen separation among these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated23-25 49%
26+ 43%
<17 27%
17-19 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<17
27%
17-19
27%
20-22
25%
23-25
49%
26+
43%
23-25 49%
26+ 43%
<17 27%
17-19 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<17
$0 Vol.
27%
17-19
$0 Vol.
27%
20-22
$0 Vol.
25%
23-25
$0 Vol.
49%
26+
$0 Vol.
43%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent late-August polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and others place the CDU at 22-23 percent, projecting roughly 18-22 seats in the 83-seat Landtag ahead of the September 6 election, well below its 2021 result of 40 seats. This decline amid AfD strength near 40-42 percent has compressed projections into overlapping seat ranges, with traders assigning near-equal weight to bins around 17-25 seats. Uncertainty stems from roughly 10 percent undecided voters, variable turnout, and the 5 percent threshold's impact on smaller parties like the Left, SPD, and Greens, which could alter remainder seats. Final campaign events, mobilization efforts by the Schulze-led CDU, or last-minute shifts in preference could widen separation among these closely matched outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent late-August polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and others place the CDU at 22-23 percent, projecting roughly 18-22 seats in the 83-seat Landtag ahead of the September 6 election, well below its 2021 result of 40 seats. This decline amid AfD strength near 40-42 percent has compressed projections into overlapping seat ranges, with traders assigning near-equal weight to bins around 17-25 seats. Uncertainty stems from roughly 10 percent undecided voters, variable turnout, and the 5 percent threshold's impact on smaller parties like the Left, SPD, and Greens, which could alter remainder seats. Final campaign events, mobilization efforts by the Schulze-led CDU, or last-minute shifts in preference could widen separation among these closely matched outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent late-August polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and others place the CDU at 22-23 percent, projecting roughly 18-22 seats in the 83-seat Landtag ahead of the September 6 election, well below its 2021 result of 40 seats. This decline amid AfD strength near 40-42 percent has compressed projections into overlapping seat ranges, with traders assigning near-equal weight to bins around 17-25 seats. Uncertainty stems from roughly 10 percent undecided voters, variable turnout, and the 5 percent threshold's impact on smaller parties like the Left, SPD, and Greens, which could alter remainder seats. Final campaign events, mobilization efforts by the Schulze-led CDU, or last-minute shifts in preference could widen separation among these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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