**The official @khamenei_ir account, now operating in the name of the late Supreme Leader, shows a pattern of infrequent activity dominated by archival quotes and occasional legacy statements rather than daily new commentary.** Recent X data from August 2026 indicates posts spaced days apart, often recycling historical material on topics such as resistance, human rights, or past events, with limited fresh content tied to breaking developments. This low cadence aligns with trader pricing that places the highest probability (73.5%) on fewer than five posts for the August 21–28 window. Successor accounts like @MKhamenei_ir and office-managed channels have assumed more active roles since early 2026, reducing the volume on the primary Khamenei handle. Absent major escalations or scheduled institutional announcements in the immediate period, the market reflects expectations of continued restrained output consistent with established posting rhythms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
<5 74%
5-9 20%
10-14 9%
25-29 1.5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<5
74%
5-9
20%
10-14
9%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
2%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 74%
5-9 20%
10-14 9%
25-29 1.5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<5
$868 Vol.
74%
5-9
$341 Vol.
20%
10-14
$106 Vol.
9%
15-19
$30 Vol.
1%
20-24
$35 Vol.
1%
25-29
$31 Vol.
2%
30-34
$30 Vol.
1%
35-39
$24 Vol.
1%
40-44
$25 Vol.
1%
45-49
$25 Vol.
1%
50-54
$25 Vol.
1%
55-59
$25 Vol.
1%
60+
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, now operating in the name of the late Supreme Leader, shows a pattern of infrequent activity dominated by archival quotes and occasional legacy statements rather than daily new commentary.**
Recent X data from August 2026 indicates posts spaced days apart, often recycling historical material on topics such as resistance, human rights, or past events, with limited fresh content tied to breaking developments. This low cadence aligns with trader pricing that places the highest probability (73.5%) on fewer than five posts for the August 21–28 window. Successor accounts like @MKhamenei_ir and office-managed channels have assumed more active roles since early 2026, reducing the volume on the primary Khamenei handle. Absent major escalations or scheduled institutional announcements in the immediate period, the market reflects expectations of continued restrained output consistent with established posting rhythms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,586End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, now operating in the name of the late Supreme Leader, shows a pattern of infrequent activity dominated by archival quotes and occasional legacy statements rather than daily new commentary.**
Recent X data from August 2026 indicates posts spaced days apart, often recycling historical material on topics such as resistance, human rights, or past events, with limited fresh content tied to breaking developments. This low cadence aligns with trader pricing that places the highest probability (73.5%) on fewer than five posts for the August 21–28 window. Successor accounts like @MKhamenei_ir and office-managed channels have assumed more active roles since early 2026, reducing the volume on the primary Khamenei handle. Absent major escalations or scheduled institutional announcements in the immediate period, the market reflects expectations of continued restrained output consistent with established posting rhythms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,586End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The official @khamenei_ir account, now operating in the name of the late Supreme Leader, shows a pattern of infrequent activity dominated by archival quotes and occasional legacy statements rather than daily new commentary.** Recent X data from August 2026 indicates posts spaced days apart, often recycling historical material on topics such as resistance, human rights, or past events, with limited fresh content tied to breaking developments. This low cadence aligns with trader pricing that places the highest probability (73.5%) on fewer than five posts for the August 21–28 window. Successor accounts like @MKhamenei_ir and office-managed channels have assumed more active roles since early 2026, reducing the volume on the primary Khamenei handle. Absent major escalations or scheduled institutional announcements in the immediate period, the market reflects expectations of continued restrained output consistent with established posting rhythms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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