The market consensus for Khamenei’s X activity in the August 18–25 window centers on low volume because the primary @khamenei_ir account has historically issued only occasional posts featuring archival statements or event-linked quotes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity shows clusters tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with multiple older quotes resurfacing in early August but no sustained daily output. Mojtaba Khamenei’s parallel account has focused on official appointments and security matters, yet the tracked handle maintains a measured cadence consistent with institutional messaging rather than real-time engagement. No acute diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the past week have prompted an acceleration in output, reinforcing trader positioning around the lowest buckets while leaving room for modest increases if regional tensions or commemorations intensify within the resolution period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
<5 60%
5-9 27%
10-14 15%
20-24 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
<5
60%
5-9
27%
10-14
15%
15-19
3%
20-24
3%
25-29
3%
30-34
3%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 60%
5-9 27%
10-14 15%
20-24 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
<5
$71 Vol.
60%
5-9
$215 Vol.
27%
10-14
$10 Vol.
15%
15-19
$5 Vol.
3%
20-24
$5 Vol.
3%
25-29
$5 Vol.
3%
30-34
$5 Vol.
3%
35-39
$5 Vol.
2%
40-44
$10 Vol.
1%
45-49
$10 Vol.
1%
50-54
$5 Vol.
1%
55-59
$5 Vol.
1%
60+
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market consensus for Khamenei’s X activity in the August 18–25 window centers on low volume because the primary @khamenei_ir account has historically issued only occasional posts featuring archival statements or event-linked quotes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity shows clusters tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with multiple older quotes resurfacing in early August but no sustained daily output. Mojtaba Khamenei’s parallel account has focused on official appointments and security matters, yet the tracked handle maintains a measured cadence consistent with institutional messaging rather than real-time engagement. No acute diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the past week have prompted an acceleration in output, reinforcing trader positioning around the lowest buckets while leaving room for modest increases if regional tensions or commemorations intensify within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$331End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market consensus for Khamenei’s X activity in the August 18–25 window centers on low volume because the primary @khamenei_ir account has historically issued only occasional posts featuring archival statements or event-linked quotes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity shows clusters tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with multiple older quotes resurfacing in early August but no sustained daily output. Mojtaba Khamenei’s parallel account has focused on official appointments and security matters, yet the tracked handle maintains a measured cadence consistent with institutional messaging rather than real-time engagement. No acute diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the past week have prompted an acceleration in output, reinforcing trader positioning around the lowest buckets while leaving room for modest increases if regional tensions or commemorations intensify within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$331End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus for Khamenei’s X activity in the August 18–25 window centers on low volume because the primary @khamenei_ir account has historically issued only occasional posts featuring archival statements or event-linked quotes rather than daily commentary. Recent activity shows clusters tied to religious observances such as Arbaeen, with multiple older quotes resurfacing in early August but no sustained daily output. Mojtaba Khamenei’s parallel account has focused on official appointments and security matters, yet the tracked handle maintains a measured cadence consistent with institutional messaging rather than real-time engagement. No acute diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the past week have prompted an acceleration in output, reinforcing trader positioning around the lowest buckets while leaving room for modest increases if regional tensions or commemorations intensify within the resolution period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions