Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father following the latter's death in early 2026 strikes, maintains official X accounts focused on formal statements rather than frequent updates. Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts for the August 14-21 window, consistent with historical patterns of limited activity from these accounts amid ongoing military reorganizations and regional tensions. Recent August developments, including senior appointments to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, have prompted minimal social media output, reinforcing expectations of restrained posting volume during this interval. Scheduled diplomatic or security events within the resolution period could influence activity, though current positioning shows no near-term catalysts for higher volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
<5 61%
5-9 25%
10-14 9%
20-24 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<5
61%
5-9
25%
10-14
9%
15-19
5%
20-24
6%
25-29
5%
30-34
5%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 61%
5-9 25%
10-14 9%
20-24 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<5
$2,645 Vol.
61%
5-9
$367 Vol.
25%
10-14
$325 Vol.
9%
15-19
$40 Vol.
5%
20-24
$30 Vol.
6%
25-29
$30 Vol.
5%
30-34
$30 Vol.
5%
35-39
$40 Vol.
1%
40-44
$72 Vol.
1%
45-49
$52 Vol.
1%
50-54
$42 Vol.
1%
55-59
$42 Vol.
1%
60+
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father following the latter's death in early 2026 strikes, maintains official X accounts focused on formal statements rather than frequent updates. Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts for the August 14-21 window, consistent with historical patterns of limited activity from these accounts amid ongoing military reorganizations and regional tensions. Recent August developments, including senior appointments to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, have prompted minimal social media output, reinforcing expectations of restrained posting volume during this interval. Scheduled diplomatic or security events within the resolution period could influence activity, though current positioning shows no near-term catalysts for higher volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$3,758End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father following the latter's death in early 2026 strikes, maintains official X accounts focused on formal statements rather than frequent updates. Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts for the August 14-21 window, consistent with historical patterns of limited activity from these accounts amid ongoing military reorganizations and regional tensions. Recent August developments, including senior appointments to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, have prompted minimal social media output, reinforcing expectations of restrained posting volume during this interval. Scheduled diplomatic or security events within the resolution period could influence activity, though current positioning shows no near-term catalysts for higher volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,758End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father following the latter's death in early 2026 strikes, maintains official X accounts focused on formal statements rather than frequent updates. Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts for the August 14-21 window, consistent with historical patterns of limited activity from these accounts amid ongoing military reorganizations and regional tensions. Recent August developments, including senior appointments to the Armed Forces General Staff and Supreme National Security Council, have prompted minimal social media output, reinforcing expectations of restrained posting volume during this interval. Scheduled diplomatic or security events within the resolution period could influence activity, though current positioning shows no near-term catalysts for higher volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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