Recent posting patterns anchor trader expectations for Elon Musk’s output in the August 18–25 window. Trackers show Musk averaging 19–28 posts daily through mid-August 2026, with bursts of 30–40 on active days tied to SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI updates, projecting a 140–220 range over seven days that aligns with the market’s tight cluster of leading outcomes. Historical volatility around major company news or political commentary adds uncertainty, yet no singular catalyst stands out for the coming week to push volume dramatically higher or lower. Traders therefore price the contest as a narrow band around sustained recent cadence rather than outlier spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 20%
160-179 19%
200-219 18%
140-159 17%
NEW
$33,065 Vol.
NEW
$33,065 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
17%
160-179
19%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
17%
240-259
5%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
160-179 19%
200-219 18%
140-159 17%
NEW
$33,065 Vol.
NEW
$33,065 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
<20
$671 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$671 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$515 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$5,620 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$5,941 Vol.
1%
100-119
$128 Vol.
1%
120-139
$0 Vol.
3%
140-159
$26 Vol.
17%
160-179
$82 Vol.
19%
180-199
$47 Vol.
20%
200-219
$43 Vol.
18%
220-239
$25 Vol.
17%
240-259
$10 Vol.
5%
260-279
$10 Vol.
5%
280-299
$72 Vol.
2%
300-319
$20 Vol.
1%
320-339
$5 Vol.
1%
340-359
$5 Vol.
1%
360-379
$100 Vol.
1%
380-399
$100 Vol.
1%
400-419
$5,200 Vol.
1%
420-439
$3,515 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$515 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$515 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$515 Vol.
<1%
500+
$8,714 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting patterns anchor trader expectations for Elon Musk’s output in the August 18–25 window. Trackers show Musk averaging 19–28 posts daily through mid-August 2026, with bursts of 30–40 on active days tied to SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI updates, projecting a 140–220 range over seven days that aligns with the market’s tight cluster of leading outcomes. Historical volatility around major company news or political commentary adds uncertainty, yet no singular catalyst stands out for the coming week to push volume dramatically higher or lower. Traders therefore price the contest as a narrow band around sustained recent cadence rather than outlier spikes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$33,065End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting patterns anchor trader expectations for Elon Musk’s output in the August 18–25 window. Trackers show Musk averaging 19–28 posts daily through mid-August 2026, with bursts of 30–40 on active days tied to SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI updates, projecting a 140–220 range over seven days that aligns with the market’s tight cluster of leading outcomes. Historical volatility around major company news or political commentary adds uncertainty, yet no singular catalyst stands out for the coming week to push volume dramatically higher or lower. Traders therefore price the contest as a narrow band around sustained recent cadence rather than outlier spikes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$33,065End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent posting patterns anchor trader expectations for Elon Musk’s output in the August 18–25 window. Trackers show Musk averaging 19–28 posts daily through mid-August 2026, with bursts of 30–40 on active days tied to SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI updates, projecting a 140–220 range over seven days that aligns with the market’s tight cluster of leading outcomes. Historical volatility around major company news or political commentary adds uncertainty, yet no singular catalyst stands out for the coming week to push volume dramatically higher or lower. Traders therefore price the contest as a narrow band around sustained recent cadence rather than outlier spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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