Farage's July 2026 resignation triggered a Clacton by-election he won back on 13 August with 63% of the vote, pausing a parliamentary standards inquiry into undeclared donations. Major parties boycotted the contest, viewing it as a procedural maneuver, and the investigation has since resumed without new developments forcing another vacancy. With the MP now re-seated and no scheduled events or health or legal triggers apparent before year-end, traders see limited likelihood of a second by-election in the remaining months of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?
30% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
30% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Farage's July 2026 resignation triggered a Clacton by-election he won back on 13 August with 63% of the vote, pausing a parliamentary standards inquiry into undeclared donations. Major parties boycotted the contest, viewing it as a procedural maneuver, and the investigation has since resumed without new developments forcing another vacancy. With the MP now re-seated and no scheduled events or health or legal triggers apparent before year-end, traders see limited likelihood of a second by-election in the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$1End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Farage's July 2026 resignation triggered a Clacton by-election he won back on 13 August with 63% of the vote, pausing a parliamentary standards inquiry into undeclared donations. Major parties boycotted the contest, viewing it as a procedural maneuver, and the investigation has since resumed without new developments forcing another vacancy. With the MP now re-seated and no scheduled events or health or legal triggers apparent before year-end, traders see limited likelihood of a second by-election in the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Farage's July 2026 resignation triggered a Clacton by-election he won back on 13 August with 63% of the vote, pausing a parliamentary standards inquiry into undeclared donations. Major parties boycotted the contest, viewing it as a procedural maneuver, and the investigation has since resumed without new developments forcing another vacancy. With the MP now re-seated and no scheduled events or health or legal triggers apparent before year-end, traders see limited likelihood of a second by-election in the remaining months of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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