Wuhan’s late-August subtropical monsoon climate typically produces daily highs of 33–38°C under persistent high pressure and high humidity, with urban heat-island effects amplifying afternoon peaks. Recent days have settled at 35–36°C, yet numerical weather models show modest spread in maximum temperatures for the 26th, driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of the subtropical ridge. This uncertainty keeps the 37°C and 38°C brackets tightly matched at 39.5% each in trader consensus, while the 11% price on 36°C reflects the lower tail of current forecast guidance. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine whether the peak edges higher or remains capped by any developing moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
37°C 40%
38°C 39%
36°C 10%
39°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
10%
37°C
40%
38°C
39%
39°C
9%
40°C or higher
1%
37°C 40%
38°C 39%
36°C 10%
39°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
30°C or below
$83 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$170 Vol.
1%
34°C
$441 Vol.
2%
35°C
$577 Vol.
3%
36°C
$678 Vol.
10%
37°C
$435 Vol.
40%
38°C
$1,070 Vol.
39%
39°C
$479 Vol.
9%
40°C or higher
$347 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wuhan’s late-August subtropical monsoon climate typically produces daily highs of 33–38°C under persistent high pressure and high humidity, with urban heat-island effects amplifying afternoon peaks. Recent days have settled at 35–36°C, yet numerical weather models show modest spread in maximum temperatures for the 26th, driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of the subtropical ridge. This uncertainty keeps the 37°C and 38°C brackets tightly matched at 39.5% each in trader consensus, while the 11% price on 36°C reflects the lower tail of current forecast guidance. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine whether the peak edges higher or remains capped by any developing moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,591End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wuhan’s late-August subtropical monsoon climate typically produces daily highs of 33–38°C under persistent high pressure and high humidity, with urban heat-island effects amplifying afternoon peaks. Recent days have settled at 35–36°C, yet numerical weather models show modest spread in maximum temperatures for the 26th, driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of the subtropical ridge. This uncertainty keeps the 37°C and 38°C brackets tightly matched at 39.5% each in trader consensus, while the 11% price on 36°C reflects the lower tail of current forecast guidance. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine whether the peak edges higher or remains capped by any developing moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,591End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wuhan’s late-August subtropical monsoon climate typically produces daily highs of 33–38°C under persistent high pressure and high humidity, with urban heat-island effects amplifying afternoon peaks. Recent days have settled at 35–36°C, yet numerical weather models show modest spread in maximum temperatures for the 26th, driven by subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of the subtropical ridge. This uncertainty keeps the 37°C and 38°C brackets tightly matched at 39.5% each in trader consensus, while the 11% price on 36°C reflects the lower tail of current forecast guidance. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine whether the peak edges higher or remains capped by any developing moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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