Singapore's National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service forecasts for August 16 point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, with isolated thundery showers and moderate cloud cover expected to cap peaks. These short-term model outputs, combined with a developing moderate El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole that favor above-average warmth and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent, explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C. Afternoon sea breezes and humidity levels above 70% further moderate extremes, while historical August averages hover around 31°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
32°C 35%
31°C 34%
30°C 12%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
34%
32°C
35%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
31°C 34%
30°C 12%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$398 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31 Vol.
1%
29°C
$264 Vol.
4%
30°C
$196 Vol.
12%
31°C
$357 Vol.
34%
32°C
$244 Vol.
35%
33°C
$362 Vol.
11%
34°C
$245 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$50 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service forecasts for August 16 point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, with isolated thundery showers and moderate cloud cover expected to cap peaks. These short-term model outputs, combined with a developing moderate El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole that favor above-average warmth and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent, explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C. Afternoon sea breezes and humidity levels above 70% further moderate extremes, while historical August averages hover around 31°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,535End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service forecasts for August 16 point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, with isolated thundery showers and moderate cloud cover expected to cap peaks. These short-term model outputs, combined with a developing moderate El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole that favor above-average warmth and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent, explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C. Afternoon sea breezes and humidity levels above 70% further moderate extremes, while historical August averages hover around 31°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,535End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's National Environment Agency and Meteorological Service forecasts for August 16 point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, with isolated thundery showers and moderate cloud cover expected to cap peaks. These short-term model outputs, combined with a developing moderate El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole that favor above-average warmth and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent, explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C. Afternoon sea breezes and humidity levels above 70% further moderate extremes, while historical August averages hover around 31°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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