Singapore’s equatorial climate features persistent high humidity and a southwest monsoon pattern in August that typically produces afternoon thundery showers, which limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 31–32 °C. Official outlooks from the National Environment Agency and numerical guidance consistently place the August 15 maximum in the narrow 31–33 °C window, with isolated convection expected to prevent stronger warming. Recent observations show daily highs clustered around 32–33 °C, reinforcing trader consensus that 32 °C is the modal outcome while leaving modest probability for a slightly warmer 33 °C reading if showers are delayed or less widespread. Model agreement remains high for this short-range period, with only small upside risk above 33 °C or downside below 31 °C given the stable large-scale pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
32°C 55%
33°C 25%
31°C 16%
30°C 8%
$33,715 Vol.
$33,715 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
55%
33°C
25%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 25%
31°C 16%
30°C 8%
$33,715 Vol.
$33,715 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
55%
33°C
25%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s equatorial climate features persistent high humidity and a southwest monsoon pattern in August that typically produces afternoon thundery showers, which limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 31–32 °C. Official outlooks from the National Environment Agency and numerical guidance consistently place the August 15 maximum in the narrow 31–33 °C window, with isolated convection expected to prevent stronger warming. Recent observations show daily highs clustered around 32–33 °C, reinforcing trader consensus that 32 °C is the modal outcome while leaving modest probability for a slightly warmer 33 °C reading if showers are delayed or less widespread. Model agreement remains high for this short-range period, with only small upside risk above 33 °C or downside below 31 °C given the stable large-scale pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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