Traders have converged on 17°C as the implied minimum temperature for Paris on September 7, 2026, reflecting consensus from official forecast models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. Recent observations confirm mild conditions with readings holding in the upper teens Celsius through the early morning hours, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 12°C for the date. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance from European meteorological agencies that limit further cooling due to high humidity and limited radiational loss. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or model revision showing a sharper nocturnal drop, though current data and short-range updates make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 7?
17°C 99%
16°C 3%
15°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$11,091 Vol.
$11,091 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99%
16°C 3%
15°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$11,091 Vol.
$11,091 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
15°C or below
$1,244 Vol.
1%
16°C
$780 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,510 Vol.
99%
18°C
$1,782 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,311 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$707 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 17°C as the implied minimum temperature for Paris on September 7, 2026, reflecting consensus from official forecast models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. Recent observations confirm mild conditions with readings holding in the upper teens Celsius through the early morning hours, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 12°C for the date. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance from European meteorological agencies that limit further cooling due to high humidity and limited radiational loss. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or model revision showing a sharper nocturnal drop, though current data and short-range updates make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,091End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 17°C as the implied minimum temperature for Paris on September 7, 2026, reflecting consensus from official forecast models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. Recent observations confirm mild conditions with readings holding in the upper teens Celsius through the early morning hours, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 12°C for the date. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance from European meteorological agencies that limit further cooling due to high humidity and limited radiational loss. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or model revision showing a sharper nocturnal drop, though current data and short-range updates make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,091End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 17°C as the implied minimum temperature for Paris on September 7, 2026, reflecting consensus from official forecast models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow. Recent observations confirm mild conditions with readings holding in the upper teens Celsius through the early morning hours, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 12°C for the date. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance from European meteorological agencies that limit further cooling due to high humidity and limited radiational loss. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or model revision showing a sharper nocturnal drop, though current data and short-range updates make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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