Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and DWD runs updated on September 7, show a consensus high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 8 amid persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and periods of rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 24–26°C outcomes, as cooler, moister air masses have replaced the warmer conditions observed on September 7. Historical September averages near 22.6°C provide context, yet the current pattern’s steering and moisture transport favor values slightly above the climatological mean. Traders are monitoring final model updates and observational data through the overnight period, when small shifts in cloud thickness or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way before markets close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 8?
25°C 45%
26°C 26%
24°C 25%
23°C 5%
NEW
$19,052 Vol.
NEW
$19,052 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
25%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 45%
26°C 26%
24°C 25%
23°C 5%
NEW
$19,052 Vol.
NEW
$19,052 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
$1,206 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,195 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,327 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,394 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,794 Vol.
2%
23°C
$2,285 Vol.
5%
24°C
$3,308 Vol.
25%
25°C
$2,405 Vol.
45%
26°C
$2,846 Vol.
26%
27°C
$892 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$400 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and DWD runs updated on September 7, show a consensus high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 8 amid persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and periods of rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 24–26°C outcomes, as cooler, moister air masses have replaced the warmer conditions observed on September 7. Historical September averages near 22.6°C provide context, yet the current pattern’s steering and moisture transport favor values slightly above the climatological mean. Traders are monitoring final model updates and observational data through the overnight period, when small shifts in cloud thickness or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$19,052End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and DWD runs updated on September 7, show a consensus high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 8 amid persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and periods of rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 24–26°C outcomes, as cooler, moister air masses have replaced the warmer conditions observed on September 7. Historical September averages near 22.6°C provide context, yet the current pattern’s steering and moisture transport favor values slightly above the climatological mean. Traders are monitoring final model updates and observational data through the overnight period, when small shifts in cloud thickness or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,052End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and DWD runs updated on September 7, show a consensus high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 8 amid persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and periods of rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 24–26°C outcomes, as cooler, moister air masses have replaced the warmer conditions observed on September 7. Historical September averages near 22.6°C provide context, yet the current pattern’s steering and moisture transport favor values slightly above the climatological mean. Traders are monitoring final model updates and observational data through the overnight period, when small shifts in cloud thickness or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way before markets close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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