Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has produced clear to partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 23–25 °C across Paris on September 24. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates modest diurnal warming capped by increasing low- and mid-level moisture, keeping peak readings near or just above the 24 °C threshold while limiting stronger insolation. Historical September averages near 20 °C highlight the current anomaly, yet model spread and cloud evolution introduce enough uncertainty to split trader probabilities between 24 °C and 25 °C. Fresh model runs and Météo-France updates through September 23 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 24?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 24?
24°C 47%
25°C 37%
23°C 12%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
47%
25°C
37%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 37%
23°C 12%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
18°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$653 Vol.
3%
23°C
$680 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1,128 Vol.
47%
25°C
$1,118 Vol.
37%
26°C
$428 Vol.
6%
27°C
$39 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has produced clear to partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 23–25 °C across Paris on September 24. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates modest diurnal warming capped by increasing low- and mid-level moisture, keeping peak readings near or just above the 24 °C threshold while limiting stronger insolation. Historical September averages near 20 °C highlight the current anomaly, yet model spread and cloud evolution introduce enough uncertainty to split trader probabilities between 24 °C and 25 °C. Fresh model runs and Météo-France updates through September 23 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,412End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has produced clear to partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 23–25 °C across Paris on September 24. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates modest diurnal warming capped by increasing low- and mid-level moisture, keeping peak readings near or just above the 24 °C threshold while limiting stronger insolation. Historical September averages near 20 °C highlight the current anomaly, yet model spread and cloud evolution introduce enough uncertainty to split trader probabilities between 24 °C and 25 °C. Fresh model runs and Météo-France updates through September 23 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,412End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has produced clear to partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 23–25 °C across Paris on September 24. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates modest diurnal warming capped by increasing low- and mid-level moisture, keeping peak readings near or just above the 24 °C threshold while limiting stronger insolation. Historical September averages near 20 °C highlight the current anomaly, yet model spread and cloud evolution introduce enough uncertainty to split trader probabilities between 24 °C and 25 °C. Fresh model runs and Météo-France updates through September 23 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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