Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the DWD and ECMWF points to a frontal system arriving overnight on September 8–9, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating in Munich. These conditions are expected to cap the maximum temperature near 21–22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes at 28% and 32.5% respectively. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall differentiate the narrow range between 21°C and 23°C, while historical September averages near 20.7°C provide context for the cooler shift from prior days. Traders are monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing that could alter peak readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
22°C 32%
21°C 28%
23°C 17%
20°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
12%
21°C
28%
22°C
32%
23°C
17%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 32%
21°C 28%
23°C 17%
20°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$175 Vol.
3%
19°C
$163 Vol.
5%
20°C
$516 Vol.
12%
21°C
$520 Vol.
28%
22°C
$389 Vol.
32%
23°C
$172 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the DWD and ECMWF points to a frontal system arriving overnight on September 8–9, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating in Munich. These conditions are expected to cap the maximum temperature near 21–22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes at 28% and 32.5% respectively. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall differentiate the narrow range between 21°C and 23°C, while historical September averages near 20.7°C provide context for the cooler shift from prior days. Traders are monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,907End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the DWD and ECMWF points to a frontal system arriving overnight on September 8–9, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating in Munich. These conditions are expected to cap the maximum temperature near 21–22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes at 28% and 32.5% respectively. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall differentiate the narrow range between 21°C and 23°C, while historical September averages near 20.7°C provide context for the cooler shift from prior days. Traders are monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,907End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the DWD and ECMWF points to a frontal system arriving overnight on September 8–9, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating in Munich. These conditions are expected to cap the maximum temperature near 21–22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes at 28% and 32.5% respectively. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall differentiate the narrow range between 21°C and 23°C, while historical September averages near 20.7°C provide context for the cooler shift from prior days. Traders are monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing that could alter peak readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions