Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and DWD-MOS indicate maximum temperatures in Munich on September 8 will likely reach 31–32°C under mostly clear skies and southerly flow, supporting the market's strong consensus on these outcomes. These values exceed the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C for the date while remaining below the all-time record of 29.6°C. Low humidity, light winds, and minimal cloud cover favor efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, with only modest spread in afternoon peaks across leading runs. Updated model cycles and official station observations from the German Weather Service will provide final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 8?
32°C 62%
31°C 31%
33°C 7.6%
30°C 3%
NEW
$12,571 Vol.
NEW
$12,571 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
31%
32°C
62%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
31°C 31%
33°C 7.6%
30°C 3%
NEW
$12,571 Vol.
NEW
$12,571 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
$1,452 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$76 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,254 Vol.
3%
31°C
$3,410 Vol.
31%
32°C
$3,340 Vol.
62%
33°C
$1,328 Vol.
8%
34°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and DWD-MOS indicate maximum temperatures in Munich on September 8 will likely reach 31–32°C under mostly clear skies and southerly flow, supporting the market's strong consensus on these outcomes. These values exceed the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C for the date while remaining below the all-time record of 29.6°C. Low humidity, light winds, and minimal cloud cover favor efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, with only modest spread in afternoon peaks across leading runs. Updated model cycles and official station observations from the German Weather Service will provide final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,571End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and DWD-MOS indicate maximum temperatures in Munich on September 8 will likely reach 31–32°C under mostly clear skies and southerly flow, supporting the market's strong consensus on these outcomes. These values exceed the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C for the date while remaining below the all-time record of 29.6°C. Low humidity, light winds, and minimal cloud cover favor efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, with only modest spread in afternoon peaks across leading runs. Updated model cycles and official station observations from the German Weather Service will provide final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,571End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and DWD-MOS indicate maximum temperatures in Munich on September 8 will likely reach 31–32°C under mostly clear skies and southerly flow, supporting the market's strong consensus on these outcomes. These values exceed the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C for the date while remaining below the all-time record of 29.6°C. Low humidity, light winds, and minimal cloud cover favor efficient daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, with only modest spread in afternoon peaks across leading runs. Updated model cycles and official station observations from the German Weather Service will provide final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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