**Forecast models for Milan show afternoon highs clustered tightly around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible.** Official guidance from sources like ilMeteo.it and numerical outputs (GFS-influenced runs) indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C if insolation peaks under broken cloud cover, while increased convective activity or thicker cloud decks could cap readings at 27°C. Dew points near 18–19°C and light southerly winds support modest instability without strong advection of hotter air masses. Historical climatology for late August places typical highs near 27°C, so current conditions align with near-normal values rather than extremes. The narrow 44–41.5% split between 27°C and 28°C in trader pricing reflects model disagreement on exact cloud timing and storm initiation, with new observational data through the afternoon likely to resolve the outcome before close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 25?
27°C 44%
28°C 42%
26°C 10%
29°C 8%
$20,147 Vol.
$20,147 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
10%
27°C
44%
28°C
42%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
28°C 42%
26°C 10%
29°C 8%
$20,147 Vol.
$20,147 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$132 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,568 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,161 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,558 Vol.
10%
27°C
$6,513 Vol.
44%
28°C
$2,139 Vol.
42%
29°C
$2,118 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$2,175 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Milan show afternoon highs clustered tightly around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible.** Official guidance from sources like ilMeteo.it and numerical outputs (GFS-influenced runs) indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C if insolation peaks under broken cloud cover, while increased convective activity or thicker cloud decks could cap readings at 27°C. Dew points near 18–19°C and light southerly winds support modest instability without strong advection of hotter air masses. Historical climatology for late August places typical highs near 27°C, so current conditions align with near-normal values rather than extremes. The narrow 44–41.5% split between 27°C and 28°C in trader pricing reflects model disagreement on exact cloud timing and storm initiation, with new observational data through the afternoon likely to resolve the outcome before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$20,147End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Milan show afternoon highs clustered tightly around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible.** Official guidance from sources like ilMeteo.it and numerical outputs (GFS-influenced runs) indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C if insolation peaks under broken cloud cover, while increased convective activity or thicker cloud decks could cap readings at 27°C. Dew points near 18–19°C and light southerly winds support modest instability without strong advection of hotter air masses. Historical climatology for late August places typical highs near 27°C, so current conditions align with near-normal values rather than extremes. The narrow 44–41.5% split between 27°C and 28°C in trader pricing reflects model disagreement on exact cloud timing and storm initiation, with new observational data through the afternoon likely to resolve the outcome before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,147End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Milan show afternoon highs clustered tightly around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible.** Official guidance from sources like ilMeteo.it and numerical outputs (GFS-influenced runs) indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C if insolation peaks under broken cloud cover, while increased convective activity or thicker cloud decks could cap readings at 27°C. Dew points near 18–19°C and light southerly winds support modest instability without strong advection of hotter air masses. Historical climatology for late August places typical highs near 27°C, so current conditions align with near-normal values rather than extremes. The narrow 44–41.5% split between 27°C and 28°C in trader pricing reflects model disagreement on exact cloud timing and storm initiation, with new observational data through the afternoon likely to resolve the outcome before close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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