Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a high near 89–90°F in Miami on September 9, with mostly sunny skies giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms amid east-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and high humidity. These conditions, typical for early September climatology where the average daily maximum is 89.7°F, favor the market-leading 90–91°F bin while limiting stronger heating. Recent observations show daily highs in the low 90s, yet persistent moisture and convective initiation have consistently capped peaks; updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or storm timing before resolution could still allow brief excursions into the low 90s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 9?
90-91°F 53%
92-93°F 37%
88-89°F 7%
94-95°F 5%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
53%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 53%
92-93°F 37%
88-89°F 7%
94-95°F 5%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
53%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance project a high near 89–90°F in Miami on September 9, with mostly sunny skies giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms amid east-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and high humidity. These conditions, typical for early September climatology where the average daily maximum is 89.7°F, favor the market-leading 90–91°F bin while limiting stronger heating. Recent observations show daily highs in the low 90s, yet persistent moisture and convective initiation have consistently capped peaks; updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow or storm timing before resolution could still allow brief excursions into the low 90s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions