**National Weather Service forecasts position the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome for Miami’s September 8 overnight low, reflecting expected minimums in the upper 70s amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorms.** Persistent tropical moisture and light winds limit nocturnal cooling, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 77-78°F under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 77-80°F range and only modest potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop overnight. The market’s next tier (76-77°F) captures downside risk from any enhanced radiational cooling, while warmer bins remain low-probability given the entrenched warm, moist airmass. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations tomorrow will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 8?
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 10%
74-75°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 10%
74-75°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
69°F or below
$477 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$62 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$17 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$274 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$943 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$435 Vol.
43%
80-81°F
$252 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$198 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$371 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts position the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome for Miami’s September 8 overnight low, reflecting expected minimums in the upper 70s amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorms.** Persistent tropical moisture and light winds limit nocturnal cooling, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 77-78°F under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 77-80°F range and only modest potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop overnight. The market’s next tier (76-77°F) captures downside risk from any enhanced radiational cooling, while warmer bins remain low-probability given the entrenched warm, moist airmass. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations tomorrow will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,030End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts position the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome for Miami’s September 8 overnight low, reflecting expected minimums in the upper 70s amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorms.** Persistent tropical moisture and light winds limit nocturnal cooling, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 77-78°F under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 77-80°F range and only modest potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop overnight. The market’s next tier (76-77°F) captures downside risk from any enhanced radiational cooling, while warmer bins remain low-probability given the entrenched warm, moist airmass. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations tomorrow will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,030End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts position the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome for Miami’s September 8 overnight low, reflecting expected minimums in the upper 70s amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorms.** Persistent tropical moisture and light winds limit nocturnal cooling, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 77-78°F under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 77-80°F range and only modest potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop overnight. The market’s next tier (76-77°F) captures downside risk from any enhanced radiational cooling, while warmer bins remain low-probability given the entrenched warm, moist airmass. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations tomorrow will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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