Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather places Miami's August 15 high near 91–92°F under continued warm, humid summer conditions with light easterly flow and only isolated afternoon storms. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 92–93°F, as the pattern lacks major cooling influences such as tropical moisture surges or frontal passages amid a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season. Recent days have produced highs of 91–94°F, reinforcing trader expectations that typical August climatology—average highs around 89–91°F with occasional peaks near 93°F—will hold without significant deviation. Updated model runs and heat advisory persistence through the weekend further support this range as the most probable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 15?
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 16%
90-91°F 14%
88-89°F 3%
NEW
$13,718 Vol.
NEW
$13,718 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
64%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 16%
90-91°F 14%
88-89°F 3%
NEW
$13,718 Vol.
NEW
$13,718 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$247 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$132 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$482 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$556 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,282 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,579 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$5,765 Vol.
64%
94-95°F
$1,054 Vol.
16%
96-97°F
$537 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$1,964 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather places Miami's August 15 high near 91–92°F under continued warm, humid summer conditions with light easterly flow and only isolated afternoon storms. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 92–93°F, as the pattern lacks major cooling influences such as tropical moisture surges or frontal passages amid a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season. Recent days have produced highs of 91–94°F, reinforcing trader expectations that typical August climatology—average highs around 89–91°F with occasional peaks near 93°F—will hold without significant deviation. Updated model runs and heat advisory persistence through the weekend further support this range as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$13,718End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather places Miami's August 15 high near 91–92°F under continued warm, humid summer conditions with light easterly flow and only isolated afternoon storms. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 92–93°F, as the pattern lacks major cooling influences such as tropical moisture surges or frontal passages amid a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season. Recent days have produced highs of 91–94°F, reinforcing trader expectations that typical August climatology—average highs around 89–91°F with occasional peaks near 93°F—will hold without significant deviation. Updated model runs and heat advisory persistence through the weekend further support this range as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,718End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather places Miami's August 15 high near 91–92°F under continued warm, humid summer conditions with light easterly flow and only isolated afternoon storms. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 92–93°F, as the pattern lacks major cooling influences such as tropical moisture surges or frontal passages amid a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season. Recent days have produced highs of 91–94°F, reinforcing trader expectations that typical August climatology—average highs around 89–91°F with occasional peaks near 93°F—will hold without significant deviation. Updated model runs and heat advisory persistence through the weekend further support this range as the most probable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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